For most of the 20th Century, military advantage was purchased with money that only states could spend. Stealth coatings, satellite constellations, cryptographic systems, and precision-guided munitions were the products of defence budgets, classified laboratories, and export-controlled supply chains. That world is receding. A growing share of the technology that now decides battlefield outcomes—commercial drones, small satellites, foundation models, quantum computing, and advanced semiconductors—is developed first for civilian markets and only later adapted for war. The direction of technology transfer has quietly reversed, and with it, the advantage once enjoyed by states that could out-invest their rivals in military-specific research is eroding in ways that are difficult to see and harder to reverse.

This erosion is not dramatic. It does not resemble the loss of a battle or the collapse of a treaty. It shows up instead as a widening gap between what a nation’s defence establishment assumes it can do and what a determined adversary, or even a non-state actor with a credit card, can now do as well. Understanding which technologies are driving this shift, how the erosion actually happens, why it has accelerated now, and what a state such as India can do about it is the purpose of this paper.

The Technologies to Watch

Seven categories of dual-use technology deserve close and continuing attention:

• Drones and small unmanned systems. The same motors, cameras, radios, batteries, and flight electronics that power hobbyist drones now underpin tactical ISR platforms and loitering munitions. The crossover is strongest at the small end of the market, where mass-produced commercial components give attackers scale and cost advantages that were unimaginable a decade ago.
• Commercial space and satellite communications. Earth-observation constellations built for agriculture and insurance now provide targeting-grade imagery, while broadband constellations built for rural connectivity now carry military command traffic. A synthetic aperture radar satellite produces the same picture whether the customer is a farmer or an intelligence agency.
• Artificial intelligence and foundation models. Computer vision, autonomous navigation, and large language models developed for consumer and enterprise use now underpin drone targeting, signals analysis, and battlefield decision support. Much of this capability is openly published or commercially licensed rather than classified.
• Quantum computing. Still immature as a computing platform, quantum research already threatens the cryptographic backbone of secure military communications. Adversaries can capture encrypted traffic today and decrypt it once a cryptographically relevant quantum computer becomes available—a strategy known as harvest now, decrypt later.
• Advanced semiconductors. The chips that train frontier AI models and the chips that guide precision munitions increasingly come from the same fabrication lines, making export control an exercise in chasing a single, fungible commodity across a globalised supply chain.
• Cyber and offensive intrusion tools. Commercially sold spyware and intrusion frameworks, built and marketed as lawful-intercept or security-testing products, have repeatedly ended up enabling state-level surveillance and sabotage operations well outside their advertised use case.
• Additive manufacturing and precision electronics. Desktop and industrial 3D printers, combined with widely available design files, allow small workshops to produce drone airframes, munition components, and jigs that once required a dedicated defence-industrial supply chain.

How the Erosion Is Actually Happening

The mechanisms are quieter than they sound:

1. Cost democratisation. Platforms that once cost a state tens of millions of dollars to field now have functional civilian equivalents costing a few hundred or a few thousand. Ukraine alone is estimated to have produced close to two million first-person-view drones in 2024—a scale of precision-strike capability that would have been unthinkable for a state defence budget a generation ago, let alone for the non-state and irregular groups now copying the model.
2. Dependency substitution. Militaries increasingly rely on commercial infrastructure they do not own and cannot fully control. When Ukraine’s access to Starlink connectivity and Maxar’s commercial satellite imagery briefly became a point of political leverage in a negotiation over a critical-minerals deal in February 2025, it exposed how thoroughly modern militaries had come to depend on privately owned, foreign-controlled systems for functions once considered sovereign—communications and intelligence.
3. Silent obsolescence of cryptographic advantage. Encrypted government and military communications are already being harvested and stockpiled by adversaries who cannot yet read them but expect to within the next decade. Recent research has cut the estimated quantum resources needed to break RSA-2048 encryption from twenty million qubits to under one million, with credible estimates of a cryptographically relevant quantum computer arriving as early as 2029.
4. Diversion through globalised supply chains. Even where export controls exist on paper, enforcement struggles to keep pace with dual-use goods routed through intermediaries. In December 2025, the United States disrupted a network responsible for diverting more than 160 million dollars’ worth of advanced AI chips to restricted destinations—a single case among a steady stream of similar actions.

Why the Erosion Is Happening

The underlying causes are structural rather than accidental, and they will not resolve themselves:

• The centre of gravity for frontier innovation has moved from defence laboratories to commercial markets. Venture capital and consumer demand now fund research at a scale and speed that defence procurement cycles cannot match. A smartphone camera sensor, a drone flight controller, or a large language model reaches maturity in commercial markets years before an equivalent military-specific programme would clear its requirements process.
• The very nature of dual-use technology resists the tools states have traditionally used to control it. A rocket that launches a weather satellite can launch a reconnaissance satellite; a communications network built for rural broadband can carry military traffic; a robotic arm designed to service a satellite can just as easily interfere with one. Export control regimes built around discrete, identifiable military hardware struggle against technology whose military application is a matter of software configuration rather than physical design.
• Globalisation has distributed manufacturing and expertise across many jurisdictions with uneven enforcement capacity. Well-designed controls in one country can be routed around through a third-country intermediary, a shell subsidiary, or a permissive jurisdiction, as the steady cadence of diversion prosecutions illustrates.
• The states that own the largest share of dual-use infrastructure—commercial satellite operators, cloud providers, and chip manufacturers—are concentrated in a small number of countries. This means access to militarily relevant civilian technology is increasingly conditioned on the political relationship with the country hosting the provider, not merely on the buyer’s ability to pay.

What Can Be Done

None of this argues for retreating from commercial technology, which is neither possible nor desirable. It argues for a deliberate strategy that treats dual-use dependence as a risk to be actively managed rather than a convenience to be passively accepted:

• Build sovereign backup capacity. For functions where foreign commercial dependence has already proven coercible—satellite communications and imagery chief among them—states need at least a minimum viable indigenous or allied alternative that can be activated if commercial access is withdrawn or degraded.
• Accelerate the migration to post-quantum cryptography. Because harvest-now, decrypt-later attacks are already under way, waiting for a cryptographically relevant quantum computer to appear before upgrading encryption guarantees that today’s most sensitive traffic will eventually be exposed. Migration needs to begin now, prioritised by how long the underlying data must stay secret.
• Mandate secure-by-design standards for dual-use platforms. Requiring cybersecurity and anti-spoofing protections to be embedded at the design stage, rather than added afterward, for satellites, drones, and networked sensors closes a class of vulnerability that has already produced a documented rise in signal-spoofing incidents against space assets.
• Coordinate export controls with trusted partners rather than pursuing them unilaterally. Since dual-use goods move through globalised supply chains, controls that are not harmonised across allied jurisdictions simply redirect trade through the weakest link. Recent friction over unpredictable licensing has already strained cooperation between India and the United States on exactly this point.
• Invest in indigenous capacity in the technologies that matter most. Rather than attempting to control or replicate every dual-use technology, states should concentrate scarce capital and talent on sovereign capability in the handful of domains—secure communications, critical sensors, autonomous systems software—where dependence carries the highest strategic cost.
• Treat commercial-sector monitoring as a standing intelligence function. Because the technologies eroding military advantage are being developed in civilian laboratories and start-ups rather than defence establishments, tracking their maturation requires the same systematic attention traditionally reserved for tracking an adversary’s weapons programmes.

Conclusion The erosion of military advantage through dual-use technology is silent precisely because nothing about it looks like a threat when it happens. A start-up ships a better drone camera. A cloud provider trains a more capable model. A satellite operator signs a new broadband customer. Each transaction is commercially unremarkable. Only in aggregate, and usually only in hindsight, does the pattern become visible: capabilities once confined to defence budgets are now available to anyone with market access, and control over the underlying infrastructure has migrated from ministries of defence to corporate boardrooms in a handful of countries. For India, as for every state seeking to preserve a credible military edge, the task ahead is not to resist this shift—which is neither possible nor sensible—but to build the sovereign redundancy, cryptographic resilience, and coordinated export discipline that allow it to draw on the same civilian innovation without becoming hostage to it.

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Emerging Paradigm of Warfare from Platforms to Algorithms

For centuries now, technology has shaped the evolution of warfare. The difference today is the pace and scale at which this transformation is unfolding. Until about three decades ago, warfare was largely platform-centric. Military strength was measured by the ability to field and employ aircraft, tanks, artillery, and naval assets at scale, with industrial capacity and logistics being key determinants of combat outcomes.

A major inflection point came during the Gulf War, which marked the shift towards ‘Precision-Centric Warfare’. Precision-guided munitions, satellite navigation, and networked sensors demonstrated that accuracy and information could deliver effects disproportionate to force size, moving away from platform-centricity. In the years that followed, militaries recalibrated doctrines towards integrating sensors, shooters, and command systems to achieve combat advantage.

Today, we are witnessing a more fundamental and disruptive transformation as warfare is increasingly becoming algorithm-driven and multi-domain, where operations across land, air, sea, space, cyber, and the electromagnetic spectrum are synchronised in near-real-time, supplemented by the use of algorithms and artificial intelligence systems across the entire Observe-Orient-Decide-Act (OODA) loop. Decision cycles are compressing, and the ability to process and act on data is emerging as a decisive factor in operational success.

This shift has been clearly visible in ongoing conflicts from Ukraine to the West Asian theatre, and closer to home through lessons from Operation Sindoor. The direction is clear. Advantage is steadily migrating from platforms to technology stacks that connect, enable, and power them.

From Military-Led to Civilian-Driven Innovation

Parallel to this transformation in warfare, the last few decades have witnessed an equally significant shift in the technology landscape. The centre of gravity of innovation has moved from military-led development to civilian-driven ecosystems.

For much of the twentieth century, when regular conflicts and ‘war economies’ were the order of the day, defence establishments defined the technological frontier. Breakthroughs such as the internet, GPS, and advanced communication systems originated within military programmes before finding widespread civilian application. Defence set the pace and direction of innovation, with the civilian industry following.

That equation has now largely reversed. Today, the most disruptive technologies, such as artificial intelligence, cloud computing, semiconductors, robotics, autonomous systems, and data analytics, are driven by the civilian sector. Innovation cycles are faster, technology proliferation is quicker, capital is more accessible, and competition accelerates development in ways traditional defence structures find difficult to match. The transition of major economies from war economies to consumer-driven economies has further accentuated this phenomenon.

For militaries, this creates both opportunity and complexity. Access to advanced technologies has expanded significantly, but dependence on globally distributed ecosystems raises concerns around control, reliability, and long-term resilience. The challenge is not just adoption, but the ability to adapt and integrate these technologies within secure and dependable frameworks.

The Strategic Imperative of Sovereign Technology

In an era of shifting alliances, contested supply chains, and increasing ambiguity in the global order, technology has moved to the centre of strategic autonomy. Access can no longer be taken for granted, and dependencies can quickly translate into strategic constraints.

The issue is not simply about acquiring advanced technologies, but about the degree of control exercised over them across the complete lifecycle of equipment. Through initiatives like Aadhaar and UPI in the civilian domain, India has successfully demonstrated that sovereign and scalable architectures can deliver reliable product quality, resilience, and scale. The lesson for defence lies in recognising the importance of architecture and control.

Sovereignty does not imply isolation. It requires clarity on what must be controlled and where collaboration is viable. In modern defence systems, critical layers often lie beneath the surface. Embedded electronics, software, data architectures, and algorithms determine how systems perform and evolve. Without sufficient depth in these areas, even indigenously produced platforms may remain constrained, with a limited ability to exploit them fully over their entire lifecycles. Building capability in these critical layers will be essential to ensure operational resilience and long-term relevance.

Leveraging Dual-Use Technologies: Connecting the Ecosystem

India is at a unique inflection point. Enabling policy frameworks, a maturing entrepreneurial ecosystem, and an evolving financial landscape have together given rise to a new generation of technology-led enterprises. Earlier, access to finance was largely linked to confirmed orders from government or industry. Today, investors are increasingly backing companies with strong technology, intellectual property, and scalability, accelerating the growth of deep-tech enterprises. Today, an increasing number of indigenous, technology-driven firms operate at the cutting edge of technology and at the intersection of civilian and strategic domains.

These firms are investing in research and building the maturity required to bring agility, innovation, and scalability into areas that were traditionally constrained by slower cycles.

In doing so, they also help to overcome the systemic challenges that various pillars of the Indian defence ecosystem—i.e., the Armed Forces, DRDO, DPSUs, private industry (including start-ups), and academia—face because of the very nature of their structure. Many tech firms are structured in a more agile and effective manner, with the ability to innovate faster, integrate more effectively, and scale solutions with greater efficiency.

These companies can support the Armed Forces in ideation, rapid prototyping, and faster capability absorption. They can also help research organisations, including DRDO, in shortening their development cycles and developing products at the cutting edge of technology. They can help the DPSUs and private industry to develop niche solutions faster with greater efficiency, better quality, higher reliability, and scalability. Many of these companies are working closely with academia, helping align research more closely with real-world problems and challenges. Thus, the real value of dual-use technologies lies in how they connect these elements and emerge as a key enabler.

Technologies Shaping the Next Phase of Capability

The shift towards algorithm-centric and multi-domain operations is being enabled by a set of technologies that cut across platforms and stakeholders. Their impact lies in how they strengthen each part of the ecosystem and how effectively they are integrated.

Digital Twins are an exciting technology and are emerging as a link between design and operations. For the Armed Forces, they can help in planning infrastructure and facilities by testing layouts and workflows before execution. They can also enable a more objective evaluation of systems during trials by allowing equipment to be tested across operational limits objectively, thereby strengthening and shortening the procurement procedures. For in-service platforms, Digital Twins can support continuous performance validation and improve platform availability through predictive maintenance and product validation.

Digital twins can also help the DRDO, academia, and industry in reducing development time of new prototypes as well as in multiple associated areas like prototype validation, quality control, and testing. They can also improve lifecycle management activities, including MRO. They can also help overcome the challenges associated with spiral development of products and solutions, an aspect that the Indian defence ecosystem has been struggling with for a very long time now.

Advanced Simulation Systems are yet another technology area with tremendous dual-use capabilities. Traditionally associated with only training, these systems actually go way beyond training and can help in doctrine validation, evolution of operational plans, as well as process and product development. Even within the domain of training, which has largely been limited to individual training in isolation, the potential of simulation can be transformative.

Through Live, Virtual, and Constructive integration, these systems are changing how training is envisioned, planned, and executed. They can enable integrated training at the crew, unit, formation, and theatre levels across services. Training environments that have traditionally been siloed can now function as a unified continuum. Also, wargaming can be made way more immersive, realistic, and reflective of operational conditions. For DRDO and academia, simulation systems can support experimentation, process improvements, as well as product development.

Electronics and Embedded Systems form the foundation of modern capability. The ability to curate customized electronics designs using indigenous chips and circuits, sensors, and firmware, with customised communication protocols and the ability to integrate with third-party products, is a phenomenal enabler.

This can help us reduce external dependence and create a resilient architecture for the development of indigenous solutions.

For the Armed Forces, control over sensors, communication systems, and electronic warfare capabilities is critical to operational effectiveness. In contested environments, this layer often determines whether systems function as intended. Operating at the heart of critical systems, these technologies energize the products effectively. They also support DRDO, academia, and industry in reducing dependency and strengthening the ability to create specialised subsystems and systems, thereby improving resilience, as well as capabilities, across the product lifecycle.

Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning support decision-making across all levels. Shaping transformation across industries and warfare, these systems enable faster data collection, quicker analysis, improved situational awareness, and support for functions such as surveillance, command and control, and logistics. Their role continues to evolve from augmenting human decision-making towards greater levels of autonomy.

Needless to say, homegrown AI and ML platforms can transform our architectures and make them way more capable. For DRDO and academia, AI and ML open avenues for research in data-driven models and predictive systems. For industry, they enable scalable and software-driven solutions across civilian and defence domains, strengthening the dual-use ecosystem.

Autonomous Systems and Robotics are translating intelligence into action. They enable operations in high-risk environments and improve reach and persistence across land, sea, air, and emerging domains. Their application is expanding beyond support roles into core operational functions. Traditionally used for replacing tasks that were considered to be dull, dirty, and dangerous, autonomous and unmanned systems are finding greater resonance across combat and combat support.

For DRDO, academia, and industry applications, they create unprecedented opportunities in autonomy, control systems, and human-machine integration. They also enable the development of next-generation systems that combine efficiency, safety, and operational effectiveness.

Data Platforms are emerging as the central integrative layer across modern defence systems. For the Armed Forces, they enable the creation of a unified operational and logistics picture by bringing together inputs from multiple sensors, platforms, and domains. This significantly enhances situational awareness, shortens decision cycles, and enables coordinated action across formations and services.

For DRDO and academia, data platforms enable data-driven development, modelling, and validation of systems, allowing for a more objective assessment and faster iteration. For industry, they support system integration, analytics, and the development of scalable digital architectures that can operate across both civilian and defence environments. Their effectiveness, however, depends on interoperability, standardisation, and robust security frameworks, making them critical to enabling true network-centric and multi-domain operations.

Space and Geospatial Technologies extend capability across all pillars of the defence ecosystem. For the Armed Forces, they enhance communication, navigation, surveillance, and command and control, while significantly improving operational and logistical planning. Their role is increasingly central in both strategic and tactical operations.

For DRDO and academia, these technologies enable advanced modelling, geospatial analytics, and the integration of satellite-based data into defence systems. For industry, they open up opportunities in downstream applications, geospatial services, and the integration of space-based capabilities with terrestrial systems. Their real value lies in seamless integration with ground-level systems, enabling more informed and precise decision-making.

Taken together, these technologies matter less as standalone capabilities and more in how they are applied collectively. Their strength lies in improving how the ecosystem functions as a whole, enabling faster development, more effective deployment, and continuous adaptation to evolving operational requirements.

Conclusion

The basis of military advantage is shifting. It is no longer defined by platforms alone, but by the ability to integrate, adapt, and scale technology in response to changing operational demands.

Sovereign dual-use technologies are central to this shift. They combine the speed of civilian innovation with the control required for strategic systems, enabling faster capability development, reducing critical dependencies, and strengthening control over critical technological layers. More importantly, they help align the Armed Forces, DRDO, industry, and academia into a more responsive and effective ecosystem. Resilience, in this context, is built through coherence and control. Nations that can anchor their defence capability in sovereign, dual-use technologies will be better placed to adapt, sustain, and evolve in the face of changing operational demands.

The post Leveraging Sovereign Dual-Use Technologies appeared first on IMR.

Session 1: Inaugural Session

Maj Gen (Dr) Ashok Kumar, Director General CENJOWS, said that the deliverables are not fully visible in the Services as far as Surveillance & Electro Optics are concerned. Much more needs to be done. He further enumerated that the Surveillance & Electro Optics systems consist of one of the four components essential for warfighting and these are:

• Sensors -They are the eyes and ears that sense the situation in the air, land, and sea domain.
• Data and communication links through which sensor outputs are transmitted to the systems where it will be stored, analyzed, and acted upon.
• Command and Control Centre/ Data Fusion Centre, where the data will be processed and decisions are taken to respond.
• Shooter – is the final component which will react to the emerging situation.

The sensor is the most critical element of the loop, so surveillance using electro-optical sensors is the most important part of the chain. We need to investigate the spectrum and bandwidth the systems need to work upon efficiently. The systems must have the capacity to connect and work together with the three services, and the compatibility with the existing systems will improve their capabilities.

Lt Gen DS Rana, Director General Defence Intelligence Agency delivered the inaugural address stating that, electro-optical sensors harvest the capabilities of optics and electronics to analyze high-resolution visual images in real time. The current conflicts in Ukraine, the Red Sea situation, the South China Sea, the nuclear ambitions of Iran and firings by North Korea are driving the world into an unstable situation. In our neighbourhood, Pakistan is facing an economic crisis, and China, too, is increasing its footprints not only on land but at sea. The need for high-grade sensors onboard drones and space-based assets is proliferating. The role of commercial intelligence data by Maxar has helped Ukraine analyze the movement of Russian troops and counter the threat in time before the attack began. Ukraine has access to NATO-based intelligence, and Russia and Ukraine are continuously attacking the targets in depth using PNT. China has increased its space-based capabilities with EO imaging revisit of about fifteen minutes, two hours in SAR, near-continuous coverage of ELINT in the Indian region. It has ISR capabilities in geosynchronous orbit for round-the-clock coverage in the Pacific and Indian Oceans. China is developing a ground-based system in Pakistan that will enhance BeiDou accuracy to 15cm based on PNT to enhance its regional precision strike capabilities. The unmanned drones can conduct ISRs and are equipped with high-definition IR and SAR sensors. Pakistan is building up its capabilities for coverage of its land borders along Iran, India and Afghanistan using high-definition EO sensors fitted drones. HAPS are solar-powered drones that fly above 20 km for persistent capabilities for many months with a resolution of 15cm. Ground-based sensors can sense the movement of troops using acoustic sensors, and China has operationalized an EO grid along the Line of Actual Control for all weather coverage. The maritime role relies on various sensors, such as long-range patrol aircraft and acoustic sensors fitted on undersea autonomous vehicles. All these developments in the sensors onboard space, air and sea-based platforms have resulted in a paradigm shift in how intelligence is gathered. There is no shortage of data, and the use of data analytics and machine learning algorithms using AI will only help in analyzing the spatial data from a variety of sensors. The use of GIS for the fusion and visualization of spatial data is a growing field many intelligence agencies have adopted. The growth of MASINT (measurement and signature intelligence) is where data from multiple sensors capable of sensing data like electromagnetic, electro-optical, acoustic, and chemical composition are fused. Only the US and Israelis have this technology and our efforts to shore up this technology is the need of the hour. The next challenge is to fuse the data and generate the information using network nodes. These data can be shared in a secure grid to seamlessly counter emerging threats in various domains. He concluded by mentioning that the current global conflicts and geopolitical situations are driving the need for high-grade sensors onboard drones and space-based assets. Both China & Pakistan are developing space-based capabilities, including imaging and coverage in the Indian region. Further, the use of data analytics, machine learning algorithms, and GIS for spatial data fusion and visualization is becoming increasingly important. The growth of MASINT technology, which combines data from multiple sensors, is a priority for many intelligence agencies. The next challenge is to effectively fuse and share data to counter emerging threats.

The Keynote Address was delivered by Air Marshal Surat Singh, Director General Air Ops, Air HQ. He defined the emerging warfighting using the sensors in the following roles:

• Superior Battlefield transparency.
• Networking of all sensors.
• Shortening of OODA loop using automated data support loop.
• Swift response using agile weapons.

They are being done at the HQ level to enable the standardized operation of data formats, protocols, and interfaces. The aerospace domain requires the exploitation of space, air and surface-based sensors. The commercialization of space and dual-use technology must be used optimally. In addition, identifying threats in space, air surface and maritime has to be done almost on a real-time basis using private and public assets. The requirements for space-based solutions that the Air Force has met, are, Stratospheric and persistent platforms assets, Low-cost and fast deployable and expendable assets, Interface with the existing networks like the IACCS system. It enhances the space segment and sensors’ networking to provide sufficient early warning and intercept opportunities. He concluded by discussing the use of sensors in emerging warfighting strategies. These must be implemented for achieving superior battlefield transparency, shortening the OODA loop, integrating all sensors, through automated data support. The air and space domain requires the optimal use of space, air, and surface-based sensors, commercialization of space and dual-use technology. Real-time threat identification in various domains is crucial and can be achieved using both private and public assets. He concluded that the Air Force has successfully met the requirements for space-based solutions, including stratospheric and persistent platforms, low-cost and fast deployable assets, and interface with existing networks.

A Special Address was delivered by Dr BK Das, DG Electronics and Communication Systems (ECS), DRDO. He highlighted that DRDO was working on a comprehensive approach to monitoring warfare trends, both in the outer space and undersea domains. It will be a non-contact war with autonomous weapons with robotics and cyber playing an important role. The next engagement is characterized as zero physical touch, as it will involve use of autonomous weaponry, AI based robots and cyber warfare. Technology wars would require careful re-alignment between country’s tech capabilities, weapon manufacturing, and industrial infrastructure to sustain them. Prioritizing development and maintenance of technological edge is crucial to come out of reliance on the other countries. DRDO is deliberating various options for services, to include SAR and LIDAR technology, advanced radar technologies, and the concept of a “Digital Soldier as a System.” The Services will utilize AI-based electro-optic soldier, autonomous decision-making abilities, robotics capabilities, and its ability to network. Cognitive Warfare is using advanced technologies to disrupt or manipulate adversary’s cognitive processes, while first-person drones will be resistant to EI & RF Interference. He further spoke about how Quantum computing will be used for surveillance in multi-domain battlefields which will facilitate object detection and identification through data gathering, fusion, and analysis. In conclusion, he re-iterated that the DRDO is working towards a comprehensive approach to monitoring warfare, incorporating technologies like artificial intelligence, space warfare capabilities, nanotechnology, big data, and additive manufacturing.

Col K V Kuber, Director Defence & Aerospace, Ernst & Young gave the industry perspective. He said that interoperability was the key for a functional surveillance system with impunity. Indian industries must collaborate with global vendors to get competitive. To reduce Indian dependence on foreign countries, we have to pep up our industrial base and ecosystem. Investment in the indigenous industry is essential to reduce India’s reliance on resources of the other countries. Strategic partnerships are the key. AI will be applied in almost all domains for crucial inputs on data. Sensors in all domains will be used to boost situational awareness and manage information overload. He concluded by re-iterating that data is crucial for intuitive design and industry must develop advance technology in sensors globally. We must ensure that India should be fully prepared indigenously for potential confrontations and early use of weapon systems based on sensors in all domains.

Session 2: Terrestrial Surveillance

The session was chaired by Brig Anurag Asthana, Brig Ops, Artillery Directorate, Army HQ. He introduced the session by drawing inferences from present global scenarios and how countries are striving for military development. He referred to the 7 October 2023 attack launched by Hamas on Israel as an example of growing conventional and asymmetric warfare equipped with lethal weapons. Touching on the session theme ‘Terrestrial Surveillance’, he reiterated the significance of multi-sensors and how the Indian Army was continuously working to upgrade surveillance facilities. He said that future battlefields would be driven by miniaturized Unmanned Autonomous Systems (UAS) and Artificial Intelligence (AI), highlighting how AI was being used for reading huge data and had opened “new vistas.” He flagged the requirement of surveillance through deployment of sensors that would allow sufficient time to process data. Passive surveillance would remain beneficial than active surveillance and that the surveillance grid needs to have full proof communication systems.

Shri Madhukar DIG (Ops) Force HQ BSF covered the challenges being faced by the Border Security Force in managing the borders at night. His presentation showcased an overview of the responsibilities of the BSF, present facilities related to surveillance and future challenges that requires to be addressed. Stressing on the dynamic terrain and climate of the Indian subcontinent, the speaker elucidated on the peace time and wartime responsibilities undertaken by the BSF for each of the geographical commands. The Western Sector revolves around the increased use of UAVs, tunnelling across international borders, low visibility during winters, poorly lit areas and non- effectiveness of Surveillance equipment during winters. Similarly, the challenges in the Eastern Sector are specific to altitude and temperature. The BSF has incubated several responses that include Hot Interception Team, Naka cum Ambush, Foot patrolling, Anti-drone operations and even Boat Naka. He further highlighted several projects undertaken by the BSF and comprise of ‘Comprehensive Integrated Border Management Systems’ (CIBMS), ‘Electronic Surveillance of vulnerable patches’ (ESVP) and OCTS project. In the concluding remarks he reiterated continued collaborative measures between BSF with DRDO, IITs and agencies like NTRO for technical solutions with integrated security system at borders. Additionally, the introduction of smart fences will be a game changer with high tech surveillance devices such as sensors, ground-based radar systems, etc, to provide a holistic surveillance mechanism.

Col Sameer Babu, Colonel (C&R), Army AD Directorate, Army HQ, spoke on the Latest Developments in Tackling Threats and C&R for Air Defence, emphasized that Army AD was the largest user of radars amongst the three Services. He touched upon the threats emanating from various altitudes and speeds which call for a dynamic surveillance system in addition to the existing ones. He also highlighted the evolving air threat and the growing impact of air power with the need for an effective air defence capability for land operations. Advancements in radar technology was flagged. Development of passive radar technology will remain a game changer since it is highly cost-effective and compliments existing radar systems. Multiple Inputs, Multiple Output (MIMO) radar technology that has evolved from communications systems provides an edge by simultaneously radiating uncorrelated signals, improving coverage and signal quality. He also flagged the use of ‘Digital Beam’ technology that can be deployed to achieve higher angular resolution and wide coverage without mechanical moving parts. The usage of ‘Active Electronically Steered Array Radar’ and ‘Radar Digital Signal Processing’ were also discussed.

The session also saw participation by several industry players and start-ups who making strides in surveillance and electro-optics equipment.

Vaibhav Gupta, Director, MKU Ltd, spoke on Electro-Optics: Shaping Modern Warfare & Defense Strategies – Learnings, Lessons & Implication In 2024. He spoke on how electro-optics was shaping warfare and defence strategies by drawing lessons from contemporary conflicts, which revealed larger and recurring requirement of equipment and night vision devices, enhanced role of sensor-based technologies, and the need for efficient solutions which deliver “first salvo effectiveness.” This meant there was a need to be self sufficient in manufacturing and core technologies. He then presented MKU’s Smart Soldier Solutions (Netro Soldier Optronics and Kavro Soldier Protection) and Smart Platform Solutions (Netro Platform Optronics and Kavro Platform Protection).He also gave details of MKU’s facilities and reach of its products and clients around the world.

Ram Biron, Director of Marketing, SCD, Israel, spoke on Advanced integrated applications utilizing high definition format IR detectors. He gave details about SCD’s credentials, facilities, core technologies in infrared detectors and video engines. He explained SCD’s share of cooled 2nd-gen scanning and staring FPAs, InGaAs FPAs detectors and modules in the defence market. He covered key global trends in IR sensors which were driving SCD’s road map. His presentation included SCD’s cooled detectors and video engines (MW/LW), new-gen SWIR solutions, combined HD MWIR and 3rd-gen ALPD SWIR, and next-gen DAS for armoured fighting vehicles.

Sandeep Shah, Managing Director, Optimized Electrotech, spoke on Assisted & Automated Surveillance. He gave details about the company and progress, patents, certifications, and clients. He cited challenges in surveillance – border conflicts, undemarcated borders, infiltration, and specific geopolitical and geographical challenges in India. He gave details about Optimized Electrotech products – NoctVision, InfiVision, ClearVision, and OmniVision. He also gave details and benefits of Autonomous AI based multi-spectral surveillance platforms.

Abhinav Gupta, Managing Director, SES, spoke on Rechargeable Li-Ion Batteries for Military Devices. He gave an overview of his company, products, present challenges in battery use, indigenous solutions, capabilities and in-house facilities. SES has worked for Indian and Israeli armed forces. SES solutions included smart chips and intelligent programming, intelligent electronics, advanced machining, novel materials and innovations.

Vinod Yadav, Head-Technical (Optronics & Computing Platforms), Tata Advanced Systems Ltd spoke on Products and Solutions in Electro-optics. He gave details about Tata Advanced Systems’ business verticals, product portfolio (Weapons, Sensors, C4I systems), and particularly the portfolio in electro-optics (cooled TI systems, uncooled TI systems, II-tube based NVDs). He gave details about short-range observation systems, long range observation systems (Rajak ULR), modular long range surveillance platforms, weapons sights, crew vision systems. He also spelt out TASL’s future technology focus areas.

Ramkrishna Siddam, General Manager, Optica spoke on Complete Solutions for Next-Generation Electro-Optical Systems. He overview of his company, capabilities, certifications, products, core expertise, testing facilities, and optics & electro-optical systems including Schlieren Systems, optics for TMT, Aerosol LIDAR, Cloud LIDAR, MIR LIDAR, FTIR System, Adoptive Optics BDOC System, Light Weight High Power Laser Mirror, IR panoramic camera and ongoing projects including Surya Tilak project for Ram Mandir at Ayodhya.

Session 3: Aerial In Space-based Surveillance

The session was chaired by AVM Rajiva Ranjan, ACAS Ops (Space), Air HQ. He said that military intelligence was the key to war. Space and air are the ultimate frontiers. In 1991, Space ISR became prominent. Aerial and SAR systems are very vital assets for military in multi-domain operations. Aerial SAR, integrated on aircraft, offers various advantage of fast deployment and flexibility, enabling real-time monitoring and target identification in various terrain and all domains. These systems provide crucial intelligence for mission planning, threat assessment, and battlefield situational awareness. On the other hand, SAR satellites provide persistent surveillance capabilities to monitor vast areas continuously for global coverage. They offer high-resolution capabilities that detect and track moving targets and assess changes in the environment. Both aerial and space-based SAR systems were integral components of military reconnaissance in providing invaluable support for operations, intelligence and decision-making processes in all domain.

Col Jasbir Mann, Col Aviation-10, Army Aviation Directorate spoke on UAV sensor payloads for persistent surveillance, and emphazied on the technologies for future warfare which could include three main types of technologies – Foundational, Strategic and Tactical. Examples included Artificial Intelligence, space technology and cyberwarfare. There is also a list of other advanced technologies like nanotechnology and robotics. He mentioning the need of all-weather aircraft and surveillance systems with capability of contemporary payload with high resolution.

Wg Cdr Aruna Singh, DIPAC, Def Space Agency spoke on Space-based ISR for early warning. Space Surveillance along with Military operations rely heavily on surveillance and reconnaissance, to perform strategic and tactical imaging over areas of interest with persistent surveillance. Geosynchronous satellites offer wider surveillance over wide areas particularly denied by other surveillance devices. The speaker highlighted the significance of gathering intelligence to effectively plan and carry out military operations, making well- informed decisions. She discussed the importance of adjusting military forces in response to shifts in an adversary’s order of battle (ORBAT) and making necessary revisions to future actions. Regarding EW satellites, she mentioned that they are designed to specifically detect ballistic missile launches. It was later incorporated into missile defence systems and regulatory control systems for nuclear tests as these satellites have the capability to detect a missile launch right from the start of its trajectory. They utilize infrared sensors to detect missile engines based on the intense heat emitted by their flames. They possess a distinct advantage over radar in their ability to scan a significantly larger area. As on date, three nations-USA, Russia, and China possess constellations of these early warning satellites. Lastly, she emphasized the advantages of the Space-Based Infrared System (SBIRS). This system consists of a network of satellites in geosynchronous Earth orbit and payloads in highly elliptical orbit, all managed by ground processing and control systems. These systems are held by three countries only so far.

Air Cmde Hrushikesh J Page, Air Cmde Int (Ops), Air HQ spoke on Latest developments and requirements for Tactical Recce (EO, SAR, IR Search). Having a deep understanding of tactical reconnaissance is crucial for successful military operations. It allows for thorough analysis of the ever-changing dynamics of the battlefield, accurate identification and prioritization of targets, efficient management of information dissemination, and effective communication. It is of utmost importance in dangerous environments such as nuclear, biological, and chemical. The equipment needs to possess a high level of agility, resilience, efficiency, and seamless integration with systems. Utilizing cutting-edge technology, such as face and text recognition, is crucial for precise identification. Security and compatibility are of utmost importance. Having equipment such as ELINT, SAR, and IR is crucial.

Dr Manvendra Singh, Scientist G, IRDE, DRDO spoke on Intelligence Gathering with EO Sensors for Today’s Missions.

Session 4: Maritime Surveillance, Research & Development

The session was chaired by Cmde Ashish Bhargava, Cmde Air Warfare & Flight Safety, Naval HQ. He emphasized the importance of maritime surveillance in the Indian context owing to the long coastline. He said that maritime surveillance was an amalgamation of a lot of platforms with sensors with the inherent challenge of transporting the data due to absence of terrestrial network.

Comdt Banshidhar Singh, Joint Dir Communications, Indian Coast Guard spoke on Surveillance against Aerial, Surface and Underwater Threats. He highlighted the importance of surveillance in the maritime domain for ensuring an appropriate response to any developing situation relating to maritime safety and security. He defined the objectives of maritime surveillance to holistically understand, anticipate and administer all events and actions related to the maritime domain that could impact the maritime security. He said that it includes and relies on maritime law enforcement, maritime pollution and marine environment control, disaster response, search and rescue, anti-poaching, anti- smuggling, anti-human trafficking and safeguarding countries’ trade and economic interests. So, the prime objective is to detect any suspicious or anomalous target that could subvert the national interest in the maritime zones. He acknowledged the need to upgrade capabilities by keeping in tune with the advancements in technologies and put forth some recommendations for the ICG which include adaptation of existing magnetron-based radars to solid-state radars, daylight CCD thermal imager with laser illumination, electro-optic system to HD thermal camera, CCD with short wave infrared technology to see through haze, fog, glass, and better ranges, and inclusion of satellite AIS for better coverage.

Cdr K Varun, Cdr AW, Naval HQ spoke on Integrating Assets for Maritime Surveillance. He talked about complexity of maritime surveillance of the IOR because of the amount of maritime traffic that transits this region which is further exacerbated by the thousands of fishing boats and the requirement of keeping an eye on the three domains of surface, sub-surface and air by the Indian Navy. He also mentioned the government’s stance on India being the ‘First Responder & Preferred Security Partner’ and the role being played by the Indian Navy currently in the Gulf of Aden. He spotlighted the importance of Maritime Domain Awareness (MDA) and its centrality to the information, decision and action cycle. He mentioned the various fixed & rotary wing and manned & unmanned platforms and the surveillance sensors in service with IN for building the MDA. He also covered the various surface and sub- surface platforms, sensors and weapons utilized by the IN towards the task. He threw some light on how all this data from the IN’s sensors and from other agencies including space is aggregated, correlated and disseminated by the Information Management and Analysis Centre (IMAC).

Maj Gen (Dr) Ashok Kumar, Director General CENJOWS gave the closing remarks, alluding to the rise of India as a leading economic power and the need for the defence forces to rise to the challenges towards which the three services are willing to state their needs in an open and upfront manner and there is much visible collaboration between the forces and the industry. He said that the defence forces are ready to hand-hold those who are willing to be partners in the growth of the defence forces and the nation.

Maj Gen Ravi Arora, Chief Editor, Indian Military Review, ended the seminar with a vote of thanks to the speakers, subject matter experts, sponsors, exhibitors, all attendees and CENJOWS for the success of the event.

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Recent Developments

Indian Armed Forces are looking at procurement of 30 x HALEs, may be in a phased manner to meet the strategic requirements, while efforts are on to build an indigenous pseudo satellite for the same.

Under the Make-II category of acquisition, the Indian Army has granted an Approval In-Principle (AIP) for Integrated Drone Detection and Interdictions System, a feasibility is underway for Autonomous – Surveillance And Armed Drone Swarm (Desert/plains) {A-SADS(desert/ plains) and Autonomous – Surveillance And Armed Drone Swarm High Altitude Area {A-SADS (HAA)}. Acceptance of Necessity (AoN) has been granted for 35 Drone Kill Systems worth INR 78.36 crore for Indian Army in 2021 under Make-II.

Naval Ship Borne Unmanned Aerial System (NSUAS) and HALE UAV have been identified under Make-I and Special Purpose Vehicles (SPV) model for development respectively.

In August 2022, Bharat Electronics Limited (BEL) issued a tender to procure two (2) mini drones with Global Navigation Satellite System (GLONASS).

Military Applications of UAVs.

Some of the important uses include:

•  Information, Surveillance, Target Acquisition, and Reconnaissance (ISTAR).

•  Unmanned combat aerial vehicles (UCAV).

•  Radar and Communication Relay.

•  Mapping Military Logistics.

•  Nuclear Cloud Surveillance.

Armed Drones. ADE has completed the development of the Rustom-2 TAPAS (Tactical Airborne Platform for Aerial Surveillance) MALE UAV (a MQ-1 category drone). HAL will soon start the production of first five units of TAPAS drones.

In total 76 units of this UAV will be ordered by forces. There will be 60 drones for Indian Army, 12 for the Indian Air Force and 4 for the Indian Navy.

Drone Technology

What information technology was in the 90s, drone technology is today. Technologies that the nation needs to invest in, are:

• Powertrain Technology – Brushless Direct Current (BLDC) Motor.

• Powertrain Technology – Fuel-Run Motor

• Powertrain Technology – Electronics

• Flight Controller

• Battery Technology

• Datalink Technology

• Making Bandwidth Available For Civilian Use

Some emerging technologies have the potential to enhancing effectiveness of drones, viz,

(a)  Artificial Intelligence.

(b)  Internet of Things (IoT).

Indian Air Force

A Combat Air Teaming System (CATS) is a planned unmanned and manned combat aircraft air teaming system being developed by HAL, which is of interest to the IAF. An armed stealth drone will team up and fight alongside IAF fighters to hit high-value enemy targets. It is designed to carry out MUM-T Operations.

The Unmanned Wingman will be connected to a heavily upgraded IAF Jaguar fighter bomber.

HAL is designing & developing AI powered, stealthy autonomous swarm drones known as ALFA-S

DRDO is developing the Ghatak which is an UCAV for the IAF. The Aura UCAV will be a tactical stealth aircraft capable of delivering laser-guided strike weapons.

Indian Army

The army’s existing unmanned systems’ fleet comprises Heron medium-altitude, long-endurance (MALE) UAVs, and the smaller Searcher Mark II tactical drones.

The Army plans to buy high-tech unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) to strengthen its intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance (ISR) capabilities and improve the effectiveness of its military operations.

Indian Navy

The Indian Navy currently operates Israeli-origin Heron and Searcher Mk-II UAVs, but neither is shipborne. It also has Sea Guardian drones on lease.

The Indian Navy announced its plans, in June 2022, to acquire 40 Naval Unmanned Aerial Systems (NUAS) for more than 100 meters long warships.

Research & Development

DRDO tested, in early-July 2022, the Autonomous Flying Wing Technology Demonstrator, which is a major step ahead of developing unmanned aerial combat vehicles (UCAV), primarily for the Indian Air Force.

Countering Drones

Drones are hard to detect, do not have a significant visual, radar, infra-red or noise signature, and require minimal infrastructure to launch and control. Drones are best countered by effective jamming and laser systems.

DRDO’s D-4 anti-drone system can provide both “soft kill” (jamming of hostile drones) and “hard kill” (a laser-based destruction method) options to the military to tackle fast-emerging aerial threats. It has been used for VIP protection on National Days’ events.

Adani Defence & Aerospace has linked with DRDO and Israel’s Elbit Systems to begin deploying counter-UAS equipment in some of the country’s major airports.

UAV Industry

The union government made a serious paradigm shift in the drone industry by announcing ‘Drone Shakti’ in Budget 2022. Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman emphasized that the initiative will also help establish Drones-As-A-Service. With ‘drone as a service’ the government says start-ups will be promoted to facilitate ‘Drone Shakti’ through various use cases and applications.

According to the Civil Aviation Minister, by 2026, the Indian drone industry will achieve a turnover of over Rs 15,000 crore. India is home to 270 startups in the drone technologies business. He has stated that the country will be a global leader in drones by 2030.

The government announced the Production-Linked Incentive scheme on 16 Sep 2021 which provides for funding 20 per cent of the “value addition” made by the company during the next three years.

By 2025, India is forecasted to be the world’s third-largest drone market. The Government of India is planning to make India a Global Drone Hub by 2030, and expects total turnover of the drone manufacturing industry to increase from ₹ 60-80 crore to ₹ 900 crore by FY 2024.

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Practice has proved that cognitive domain operations have broken the traditional online and offline data barriers. Through the integrated use of telecommunication networks, the Internet, the Internet of Things and other channels, and with the help of advanced algorithms, the initiator can effectively switch between various spaces and optimize the combat style, and even focus on private spaces and public spaces to accurately release interference information, so as to achieve effects that cannot be achieved by traditional combat methods.

In future cognitive domain operations, the influence of rational factors such as science and logic on individual cognition is likely to be weakened, and cognitive confrontation may become a contest between emotions and emotions.

At present, the rapid development of intelligent technology is changing the logic of information dissemination in an all-round way, making the impact of information on thinking and consciousness more profound and comprehensive, and human brain cognition has truly risen to an important field of military confrontation. In the era of intelligence, the continuous evolution of the information dissemination mechanism will systematically reshape cognitive confrontation from many aspects, thereby promoting fundamental changes in cognitive domain operations.

Artificial intelligence becomes the main driver of cognitive domain operations

In the era of intelligence, information dissemination is based on data, and artificial intelligence technology runs through the entire process of information collection, production, and feedback. The extensive and in-depth application of artificial intelligence, a disruptive technology in the military field, will be the key support for the entire process of future cognitive domain combat planning and implementation.

Artificial intelligence technology will run through multiple scenarios of future cognitive domain operations. In the process of deployment and rhythm control of combat operations in the cognitive domain, all parties involved rely on advanced algorithms as the “regulators” and “gatekeepers” of actions, and a large amount of information about battlefield actions from various combat domains provides information for all parties to the war. Efficient decision-making and implementation of cognitive domain operations provide the driving force. Practice has proved that cognitive domain operations have broken the traditional online and offline data barriers. Through the integrated use of telecommunication networks, the Internet, the Internet of Things and other channels, with the help of advanced algorithms, the initiator can effectively switch between various spaces and optimize the combat style. It even focuses on private spaces and public spaces to accurately release interference information, so as to achieve effects that cannot be achieved by traditional combat methods.

In addition, artificial intelligence has evolved from empowering a single link to connecting all links of combat and the entire process. At present, artificial intelligence is limited to locating target audiences in information dissemination to improve the matching rate of information and destinations. In future cognitive domain operations, artificial intelligence will play a “one-stop” role in the planning and implementation of cognitive domain operations, and will continue to strengthen the coupling between various links. The foreign military believes that in future cognitive domain operations, differentiated delivery of data can be used to activate robots to instantly create public opinion trends and affect cognitive effects. At the level of strategic campaigns, based on long-term tracking data and continuously adjusted and optimized algorithm strategies, it can measure the cognitive situation of different regions and groups, and assist decision makers in planning core narratives and major issues, thereby regulating the implementation of actions and coordinated actions.

Autonomous confrontation has become a prominent feature of cognitive domain operations

With the continuous expansion of intelligent programs from collaborative communication, participatory communication to autonomous communication, and the connected ecology of smart terminals, officers and soldiers will increasingly be able to receive various types of information sent by smart programs and smart terminals on the battlefield in the future. In the virtual space, the interactive communication between digital twins and virtual people will transmit the cognition of people in the real world. From the perspective of the development trend of cognitive domain operations under intelligent conditions, the degree of human intervention will gradually decrease, the collection, synthesis, and transmission of information ammunition will be more autonomous and efficient, and the formulation and execution of discourse strategies and action strategies will become more autonomous. The pace of the whole process is unprecedentedly fast. But as far as the result is concerned, humans are still the ultimate goal of combat in the cognitive domain, and the process of empowerment and acceleration by autonomous weapons will continue to strengthen the control of human cognition.

With the help of autonomous confrontation tools such as intelligent programs, intelligent terminals, digital twins, and virtual humans, all parties participating in the war will have more flexibility in the deployment of cognitive domain combat situations, space-time use, and information content design, and the confrontation between information authenticity and falsehood will be more efficient. protrude. In future cognitive domain operations, autonomous weapons will likely break through the limitations of power and time and space, and their action patterns will become more complex. The practice of foreign militaries shows that the use of the Internet to carry out “spray irrigation” communication for the general public and “drip irrigation” communication for specific groups will become a common pattern of cognitive domain operations. Smart programs and smart terminals can support the development of more and more complex action patterns due to their characteristics of batch replication deployment and non-stop operation. For example, it is possible to quickly mobilize a large number of social robots around specific issues and target specific attack objects, take turns to concentrate and spread information, or use smart devices around specific individuals to collect relevant data, and use dialogue robots, virtual humans and individuals to interact with each other for a long time and continue to guide them achieve combat objectives.

In future cognitive domain operations, autonomous weapons covertly manipulate cognitive domain battlefields will become the norm. Social robots can create fake public opinion and hotspots as needed, thereby generating more fog of individual perception; intelligent synthesis technology will lower the threshold for false information production. As a result, the cost and difficulty of counterfeiting will be increased; robot accounts and virtual human sources will be more difficult to identify, and “one-to-one” cognitive fraud is becoming more and more common.

Emotional Conflict Becomes a Prominent Attribute of Cognitive Domain Operations

In the era of intelligence, new technologies will broaden the scope of human cognition and deepen people’s perception. Extended reality, metaverse and other technologies will more holographically and transparently present the battlefield environment, event scene, etc., and the scene can be touched, felt and interacted, and the audience will be more subject to the influence of perceptual logic when they perceive the truth of the event.

Thanks to the development of the mobile Internet, the rapidity of information dissemination has increased rapidly. Through the centralized release of large batches of information in a short period of time, the response time of individuals can be greatly compressed, making it difficult for individuals to think deeply. Before the full picture of the event is fully displayed, the audience often has formed a position tendency and even turned their attention to a new focus. The mode of outputting conclusions based on fragmented clues intensifies the irrational and emotional response to information. In future cognitive domain operations, the influence of rational factors such as science and logic on individual cognition is likely to be weakened, and cognitive confrontation may become a contest between emotion and emotion. In the choice between resorting to rationality and resorting to sensibility, all parties involved in the war pay more and more attention to moving people with emotion, agitating, occupying and even polarizing the target object’s mind through perceptual means, and leading the confrontation situation in the cognitive domain.

In the era of intelligence, cognitive leverage increasingly relies on emotional competition. On the one hand, cognitive resonance is enhanced with emotional arousal strategies. In future cognitive domain operations, the initiator of the action selectively presents the cruel and fierce battle scenes, post-war scenes, or the process and status quo of soldiers participating in the battle, so as to strongly stimulate the audience’s emotions and awaken the audience’s innermost feelings emotional identity. As a node of the communication network, people can collect various physical signs data through intelligent algorithms, so that the initiators of actions can more accurately study and judge the emotional effects of information, so as to dynamically adjust the content and strengthen emotional responses. Action initiators use data calculations to select groups with similar understanding contexts and the same emotional characteristics, or to select specific individuals who are susceptible and have a greater influence value, and stimulate them through targeted dissemination of homogeneous information flows. Group cognitive resonance.

On the other hand, use the moral coercion strategy to stimulate value recognition. In the face of accumulated and aggravated fragmentation and irrational cognitive response patterns, the initiators of combat operations can occupy the moral high ground through the discourse system of binary opposition, gather the torrent of self-interested value cognition, and then achieve the coercion effect. The rich forms of presentation in the intelligent communication environment and the direct access to the public’s social channels provide a convenient means for action initiators to use this strategy. In local wars in recent years, technological evolution has gradually demonstrated the promotion of moral coercion strategies. For example, social media has exposed the secret diplomacy of the past to the public. The details of communication between the upper echelons and elite groups, etc., and discourse strategies are increasingly emphasizing moral arbitration and criticism, thereby influencing and stimulating the international public to support their own value positions.

The Internet of Everything Expands the Battlefield of Cognitive Domain Operations

With the development of information communication technology, social media has gradually become the main battlefield for shaping cognition. Institutions, individuals and people of all warring parties can directly contact and interact with each other through social media, making all-weather cognitive competition possible.

In the era of intelligent communication, the Internet of Everything has become a new social connection model, and communication subjects and communication behaviors are ubiquitous. Under this influence, the combat space in the cognitive domain will expand to smart IoT terminals and scenarios, and to the two worlds of physical space and virtual space. The Internet of Everything leads to the ubiquity of the combat space in the cognitive domain, which will further promote the ubiquity of combat subjects. Natural persons, intelligent terminals with information sending and receiving capabilities, and even virtual characters in the network world may become combat subjects, and cognitive domain operations will participate in the war. The types of forces will be greatly expanded, and the organizational method of cognitive domain operations will change to distributed coordination.

In future cognitive domain operations, people and machines deep in the conflict will become an important force in combat. With the support of intelligent technology, they will collaborate to draw battlefield pictures and participate in the “writing” of the whole process of war. Soldiers on the frontline continuously share their personal battlefield experiences through social networks, and push them to the world in a timely manner after personalized packaging. Individual equipment and combat platforms will be responsible for battlefield image collection and transmission tasks, and trigger automatic processing and release mechanisms according to preset procedures, cooperate with physical space combat operations in various ways to compete for information control and brain control. With the continuous development of communication technology, frontline soldiers and intelligent equipment can also reprocess and reprocess the information they have in a targeted manner according to the instructions of their superiors, so as to present the battlefield scene they want to express more conveniently and panoramically, to achieve the ultimate goal of fighting in the cognitive domain.

Source: China Military Network – PLA Daily

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Chinese scientists recently gave temporary full control of an experimental remote sensing satellite to artificial intelligence to observe its ability, which apparantly led the satellite to hover over India and Japan, the South China Morning Post said citing a study published in a journal of the Geomatics ad Information Science of Wuhan University. The study said that the satellite, Qimingxing 1, was controlled by ground-based AI, without human intervention which picked few places on Earth and ordered it to take a closer look.

According to the Chinese media, no explanation was given by the scientists on why the AI selected those specific locations. The AI reportedly decided to observe targetted areas in Bihar’s Patna, where the Bihar Regiment of the Indian Army is situated. It is the same Army unit that met the Chinese military in a deadly encounter in Galwan Valley in Ladakh in 2020.

The AI also showed interest to take a close look at Japan’s Osaka, one of the busiest ports that hots the US Navy vessels time to time.

So far, AI tech does not take actions on its own without human orders and assignments. The Chinese researchers wanted to change the narrative and created a text library of data from around tha globe. The data, in line with how it is used to train ChatGPT, will allow AI to understand human behaviour and enable giving directions to more than 260 remote-sensing satellites in orbit that are currently sitting ‘idly’.

“The satellites are expensive with a limited lifespan. It is urgent to make the most out of their value with new orbital applications,” researchers told SCMP.

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Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Machine Learning (ML): AI and ML are expected to be increasingly used to improve decision-making, target identification, and battlefield awareness. They could also be used to develop autonomous weapons, which could make warfare more efficient and less reliant on human decision-making.

Autonomous Systems: Unmanned aerial and ground vehicles, as well as underwater drones, are expected to become more prevalent on the battlefield. These systems could be used for reconnaissance, surveillance, and other military tasks, and could greatly enhance the capabilities of military forces.

Directed Energy Weapons (DEW): Lasers and microwave weapons are expected to become more powerful and more widely used in warfare. These weapons could be used to disable or destroy targets at a distance, and could greatly enhance the capabilities of military forces.

Quantum Technology: Quantum computing, quantum communication and quantum encryption are expected to play a major role in future warfare. They could be used to develop more powerful and secure communication systems, as well as to improve intelligence gathering and analysis.

Cybersecurity: As more military systems become connected to the internet, protecting them from cyberattacks will become increasingly important. Emerging technologies such as blockchain and quantum-resistant cryptography are expected to play a key role in securing military networks and systems.

Robotics and Drones: Robotics and drones are expected to play a more prominent role in future warfare, they could be used for reconnaissance, surveillance, and other military tasks including search and rescue, reconnaissance, and explosive ordnance disposal.

Augmented and Virtual Reality (AR/VR): AR/VR are likely to be used for training, simulation, and for enhancing the situational awareness of soldiers on the battlefield.

Hypersonic Weapons: These are missiles that travel at speeds above Mach 5 and can evade traditional missile defense systems.

Space-based Assets: Satellites are being used for a variety of military purposes, including communication, navigation, and intelligence gathering.

Autonomous Systems

India has been actively working on developing autonomous systems and Robotics for defence purposes.

Unmanned Aerial Systems (UAS). The Defence Research and Development Organisation (DRDO) has been developing various UAS for reconnaissance, surveillance, and target acquisition. DRDO’s unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) Rustom-2 can be used for intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance (ISR) missions.

Unmanned Ground Vehicles (UGVs). DRDO has been developing UGVs for a variety of tasks, including explosive ordnance disposal and reconnaissance. DRDO’s UGV named Daksh is capable of handling Improvised Explosive Devices (IEDs). A Minefield Breaching System (MBS) has also been developed, which can be used to clear minefields and other explosive hazards.

Autonomous Naval Systems. Autonomous surface and underwater vehicles for naval applications such as mine countermeasures, anti-submarine warfare, and surveillance are under development. Indian Navy has developed an Autonomous Underwater Vehicle named AUV-62.

Autonomous Weapon Systems. DRDO has been working on autonomous weapon systems for use in air, land and naval defence. These systems are intended to improve decision-making and target identification.

Humanoid Robots. DRDO is also researching the development of humanoid robots for military and civilian applications.

Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning

AI and ML technologies are being used to improve decision-making, target identification and tracking, predictive maintenance and cybersecurity.

AI-based Decision Support Systems. The Indian armed forces are using AI-based decision support systems to improve situational awareness and decision-making on the battlefield. The Indian Army has developed an AI-based decision support system called the Tactical Control and Analysis System (TCAS).

ML-based Target Identification and Tracking. DRDO has been working on developing ML-based systems for target identification and tracking, for use in air and missile defence. DRDO has developed an ML-based system for tracking and identifying aircraft and missiles, called the Integrated Air Command and Control System (IACCS).

AI-based Predictive Maintenance. India’s armed forces are using AI-based predictive maintenance systems to improve the maintenance of weapons and equipment. The Indian Navy has developed an AI-based predictive maintenance system called the Automatic Maintenance Management System (AMMS).

AI-based Cyber Security. AI and ML has been in use to improve cybersecurity, including intrusion detection and response, and threat intelligence.

AI-based Autonomous Systems. DRDO is been researching the use of AI to improve the autonomy and decision-making capabilities of unmanned systems, including UAVs and UGVs.

Hypersonic Weapons

India is actively researching and developing hypersonic weapons technology, including the Hypersonic Technology Demonstration Vehicle (HSTDV), the BrahMos-II missile, and the Hypersonic Air-breathing Weapon Concept (HAWC). India has also successfully tested a hypersonic scramjet engine, which is a key technology for hypersonic propulsion.

HSTDV can be used to test and validate hypersonic propulsion technologies. BrahMos-II is an upgraded version of BrahMos supersonic cruise missile, designed to be able to travel at hypersonic speeds. HAWC will be a new class of missile that can travel at hypersonic speeds and carry conventional or nuclear payloads.

India has successfully tested a hypersonic scramjet engine. This technology will be used to power the HSTDV and the HAWC.

Directed Energy Weapons

India is actively researching and developing directed energy weapons (DEW), such as high-energy laser systems and microwave weapons, for use in air and missile defense, electronic warfare, and communications.

High-energy Laser Systems. DRDO has been researching and developing high-energy laser systems to disable or destroy incoming missiles and aircraft. DRDO is also working on microwave weapons for use in electronic warfare. These weapons can be used to disrupt or damage electronic systems, such as radar and communications systems.

Laser-based Communication System. The Department of Space has been developing a laser-based communication system that uses a beam of laser light to transmit data through the atmosphere.

Solid-state Laser Technology. DRDO is also working on solid-state laser technology for use in high-energy laser systems.

Space-based Assets

India has been developing a variety of space-based assets for military use, including communication, navigation and reconnaissance satellites, military satellite launch vehicles and space-based early warning systems.

Communication Satellites. Indian Space Research Organisation (ISRO) has developed a number of communication satellites that can be used for military and civilian purposes.

Navigation Satellites. ISRO has developed a regional satellite navigation system called NAVIC (Navigation with Indian Constellation) which provides accurate positioning and timing information for military and civilian use.

Reconnaissance Satellites. ISRO has developed a number of reconnaissance satellites that can be used for intelligence gathering, surveillance and reconnaissance. These include the Cartosat series of satellites which provide high-resolution imagery.

Military Satellite Launch Vehicles. The Polar Satellite Launch Vehicle (PSLV) and the Geosynchronous Satellite Launch Vehicle (GSLV) are used to launch military and civilian satellites into orbit.

Space-based Early Warning Systems. Space-based early warning systems is being developed to detect and track incoming ballistic missiles, and other potential threats to Indian airspace.

Quantum Communication and Quantum Computing

In summary, India is actively researching and developing Quantum communication and Quantum computing technology for defence applications, with a focus on Quantum key distribution, quantum computing, quantum random number generator, and quantum communication network. DRDO and Indian Institute of Technology (IIT), Indian Institute of Science (IISc) have been leading the development of these technologies.

QKD uses the principles of quantum mechanics to generate and distribute cryptographic keys, making it extremely difficult to hack.

DRDO has been researching the use of quantum computing for cryptography, simulation and optimization. A quantum random number generator has been developed that can be used for cryptographic applications, such as key generation and encryption. Indian Institute of Technology (IIT) and Indian Institute of Science (IISc) are also actively researching and developing quantum computing technology.

Quantum Communication Network. DRDO is also researching the development of a quantum communication network that would be able to transmit information securely using quantum cryptography.

Critical Technologies for Next-gen Fighter Aircraft

Several critical technologies are required for military aerospace and next-gen fighter aircraft. These include:

• Stealth technology by reducing the radar cross-section of an aircraft to make it more difficult to detect by radar. This can be achieved through the use of advanced materials and shaping techniques.

• Avionics systems that can integrate and process a large amount of data from various sensors, including radar, infrared, and electronic warfare systems, to improve situational awareness and decision-making.

• Supersonic and hypersonic propulsion that enable aircraft to fly at supersonic or hypersonic speeds, greatly increasing their speed and range, as well as their ability to evade enemy defences.

• Directed energy weapons like laser and microwave weapons that can be used to disable or destroy enemy aircraft, missiles and other targets.

• The use of advanced materials, such as composites, that can withstand high temperatures and stresses, as well as structures that can withstand high-g manoeuvres are critical for next-generation fighter aircraft.

Complexities Involved in Development of Aeroengines

The development and manufacture of aeroengines is a complex and challenging process that involves a number of technical, logistical, and financial complexities. Some of the major complexities involved in this process include:

Advanced Materials and Manufacturing Techniques. Aeroengines are made from a variety of materials, including metals, ceramics, and composites, which must be engineered and manufactured to exacting tolerances to withstand the high temperatures, pressures, and loads encountered in flight.

Complex Design and Engineering. Aeroengines are highly complex systems that require advanced design and engineering techniques to optimize performance, efficiency, and reliability. This includes the use of computational fluid dynamics, finite element analysis, and other advanced simulation tools to model and optimize the engine’s performance.

High Development and Manufacturing Costs. Developing and manufacturing aeroengines is an extremely costly process, involving significant investments in research and development, engineering, testing, and production facilities.

Critical Technologies for Next-gen Armoured Fighting Vehicles

Some critical technologies for next generation armoured fighting vehicles include:

• Active protection systems (APS) which detect and intercept incoming projectiles before they can hit the vehicle.

• Advanced armour materials, such as ceramic and composite materials, that can provide better protection against high-powered weapons.

• Electric drive systems and hybrid powertrains to improve mobility and reduce dependence on fossil fuels.

• Advanced sensors and networking systems to improve situational awareness and communication among vehicles and with command and control centres.

• Autonomous capabilities such as autonomy and artificial intelligence to improve decision-making and reduce the risk to crew members.

• Stealth technology to reduce the vehicle’s detectability by enemy sensors.

• Laser weapons, directed energy weapons, to provide longer range and more precise firepower.

Critical Technologies for Next-gen Submarines

Next-gen submarines require some critical technologies as follows:

• Advanced stealth technology to reduce the submarine’s detectability by enemy sensors. This includes quieting systems for the propulsion, electrical and mechanical systems, as well as hull coatings and designs that minimize the submarine’s acoustic, magnetic and electromagnetic signatures.

• AIP (air-independent propulsion) systems that allow the submarine to operate for extended periods without surfacing. This can include fuel cells, closed-cycle diesel engines, or Stirling engines.

• Advanced sensors, including sonar systems, for improved underwater detection and classification of other vessels and submarines.

• Integrated communications and networking systems to improve the submarine’s command, control, and information-sharing capabilities.

• Hybrid electric drive propulsion system that allows extended low-speed operations and silent running, as well as increased range and endurance.

• In the case of next-gen frigates and destroyers, additional technologies, as follows, are required:

• Advanced propulsion systems, such as gas turbine or integrated electric drive, to improve the ship’s speed, range, and manoeuvrability.

•  Advanced sensors, including radar, sonar and electronic warfare systems, for improved situational awareness and threat detection.

• Integrated communications and networking systems to improve the ship’s command, control, and information-sharing capabilities.

• Advanced armour materials and active protection systems to improve the ship’s survivability against incoming projectiles.

Way Ahead

India is a significant player in the defence and aerospace industries, with a strong focus on developing advanced technologies. The country has a robust domestic defence industry, which produces a wide range of military equipment and weapons systems, including tanks, fighter jets, and warships. India also has a growing aerospace industry, with several major companies and research institutions including DRDO working on developing new technologies in areas such as satellite launch vehicles, unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs), and hypersonic vehicles. Additionally, India has a strong tradition of scientific research, including in areas such as aerodynamics, propulsion, and materials science, which it is leveraging to develop advanced technologies for defence and aerospace applications.

To further enhance its capabilities and catch up with the world leaders in advanced technologies, India should increase investment in research and development; encourage collaboration and partnerships between its defence and aerospace companies, research institutions, and international partners; create a conducive policy environment (funding, tax incentives, and other benefits); increase indigenization with a focus on building capabilities in design, development, and production of defence equipment; and emphasize on education and training (science, technology, engineering, and mathematics).

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The seminar was inaugurated by Gen VK Singh, Union Minister of State for Civil Aviation. The Keynote Address was delivered by Dr VK Saraswat, Member, NITI Aayog.

Session I – Inaugural Session

Welcome Address. Air Marshal Anil Chopra, Director General Centre for Air Power Studies, highlighted the wide range of applications of Unmanned Aerial Systems (UAS) which includes surveillaance, security, logistics, civilian uses in areas of agriculture, transport and many more. He further discussed the increasing significance of the application of UAS in military services. Air Marshal Chopra also highlighted the lessons from the Russia-Ukraine crisis and the increasing usage of drones with proliferating defensive as well as offensive capabilities. He emphasized India’s excellent efforts in developing drone technologies and the development of an unmanned aerial ecosystem. He further underlined India’s potential to become a global drone industry in the coming years.

Inaugural Address. Delivering the Inaugural Address, Gen VK Singh, Union Minister of State for Civil Aviation, traced the history of drones and discussed the increasing efficacy of UAS. He further highlighted the significance of emerging technology along with the increasing role of artificial intelligence (AI) and the internet of things (IoT) in the utilization of drone technology both in the civilian and military domains. He further emphasized on the role that India plays in building this ecosystem. Gen Singh threw light on the Indian government’s plans and initiatives which have been undertaken for making this a reality. Underlining the significance of this technology in the coming years, he elucidated that the government has been supportive of this and that an ecosystem is supportive of research and development in this domain. He also mentioned that the rules and regulations have been revamped with the new drone policy of 25thAugust 2021 which seeks to change the regulatory regime for drones. He stressed the ‘Make in India’ initiative and the increasing use of drones in all sectors, civilian and military alike.

Keynote Address. Delivering the Keynote Address, Dr VK Saraswat, Member NITI Aayog, emphasised the integration of drones into the existing aviation space. In his detailed presentation, Dr Saraswat focused on five main research areas of the UAS which included smart UAV, remote sensing payloads, Robotic UAV payloads, Multi-vehicle networking, Fault-tolerant and robust UAV navigation—i.e., enabling ship-based UAV operations in remote and harsh conditions. He mentioned that as the systems become more and more autonomous with the advancement in technology, it becomes necessary for India to engage in quality and indigenous R&D programs to be initiated in India’s premier higher education institutions such as IITs. Dr Saraswat also spoke about the UAV’s military applications which include strike missions, intelligence & situational awareness, electronic warfare, suppression, and destruction of enemy’s air defence, network node or communication delay, and combat search and rescue. He concluded by making three arguments- (1) Atmanirbharta is necessary in the UAS sector; (2) the necessity to develop extremely good designs and design capabilities with the need for deep R&D; and (3) the efforts in this sector must be qualitative and not just focused on numbers.

Special Talk. Air Marshal Radhakrishnan Radhish, SASO Western Air Command, gave a Special Talk and discussed changes in the UAS systems in the past few years. He mentioned the increasing demand in the civil sector for UAS highlighting the fact that various e-commerce giants also venturing into this domain. Highlighting the need to increase the role of UAS in the IAF, he discussed as to how UAS can play a major role in providing intelligence along with other military responsibilities. Drawing lessons from various conflicts around the world in the past few years, he opined that UAS would complement manned fighter aircraft. He also mentioned that the IAF is developing a road map for the UAS. He also spoke about the increasing use of niche drone technology and swarm drones pointing out that by 2026, India could potentially emerge as the world’s third largest drone market. This is along with the fact that 23per cent of the global drone start-ups are in India.

Special Talk. Lt Gen Ajai Kumar Suri, Director General, Army Aviation also gave a Special Talk and brought in a fresh perspective from the Indian Army. The Indian Army has been using drone technology for the last two decades. He further discussed the need to extrapolate how others are utilizing this surveillance mechanism. The induction of drones into the Services is now unavoidable. He underlined certain challenges, like genuine, indigenous technological development; airspace management; counter drone measures including matching capabilities with those in competition or developing better technology; and outsourcing the task of UAS to civil industry. He stressed that UAS could emerge as a formidable force multiplier and should be employed to its full extent.

Release of Knowledge Paper. Col KV Kuber, Director Defence & Aerospace, E & Y in the presence of the esteemed guests which included presented the EY-IMR Knowledge Paper on the Unmanned Aerial Systems, which was released by the guests.

Session 2—UAV Requirements

The theme of Session 2 was UAV Requirements of the Services, their efficacy, present technologies, and the way forward. The session was chaired by Air Vice Marshal Ashutosh Dixit, ACAS (Plans), Air HQ.

Sameer Joshi, CEO, Newspace Research and Technologies discussed the ‘Design and Development of the UAVs at Newspace for Penetration of Contested Airspace.’ He explained the notion of contested airspace as ‘layered defence’ further discussing the SWOT analysis where he touched upon manned platforms; stealth (manned/unmanned); Medium Altitude Long Endurance (MALE) UAVs and drone swarms. He further discussed the feedback from SWOT analysis which included manned platforms highlighting that they will suffer attrition while penetrating the contested air space. He mentioned that the stealth/low radar cross-section (RCS)in unmanned or manned assets is most effective even though they come with technological or cost implications. He underlined that the significant increase in the number of UAVs will eventually increase the combat capacity and survivability in a contested environment. He discussed that the UAVs are complementary with force-multiplying capabilities, and not the replacement for 4th or 5th-generation manned assets. He further mentioned that the stand-alone non-stealth MALE UAVs will not be able to operate at will in the contested air space, and therefore, will suffer huge attrition. He mentioned that swarm drones offer the best return of investment towards saturation of targets. He further discussed that the requirements of stand-alone small-sized drones will increase exponentially to locate and fix targets right down to the squad level, provided they can survive baseline anti-drone measures. According to Mr. Joshi, Manned Unmanned Teaming (MUM-T) will be an important component of collaborative autonomy as the need in terms of air warfare by the end of 2022.Mentioning that robots are the future warriors, autonomous robots extend military reach into well-defended battle space, operating with greater range and persistence. In the end, he mentioned the salience of AI, highlighting that through AI there is a guarantee to take on dangerous and suicidal missions with minimum possible casualty both in terms of providing greater success in the face of increased threat levels and penetration of well-defended airspace.

Gp Capt NK Chaubey, Director NBC, Air HQ explained the ‘IAF’s UAV Plans.’ He discussed in detail the UAS systems such as Searcher MK-II, Heron and Heron MK-II utilized by the IAF. While explaining their tasks, he explained about the Imaging EQ/IR and SAR, SIGINT gathering, COMINT gathering, laser designation, RPA assisted helicopter and fighter strike, battle damage, assessment, search & rescue, base-defence missions, HADR missions, live coverage of various tests and trials. While discussing the way forward, he discussed the MALE class remotely pilot aircraft with enhanced capabilities including uninhabited combat air vehicle (UCAV), loiter munitions, UAVs for Base Defence, indigenous productions for sustenance, and inter-service operations. Discussing the Manned Operation and Intelligence Centre (MOIC) section, he focused on the enhanced capabilities of the IAF to generate intelligence; centralize a hub for archival and analysis of all ISR data; and simultaneous control of UAVs through SATCOM.

Col Kumar Gaurav, Col Avn-10 (RPAs), Army Aviation Directorate, Army HQ, shared his views on ‘Army’s HALE and MALE UAV Requirements.’ He explained that HALE RPAs and MALE RPAs were the perfect examples of splitter-shooter platforms. They can engage with the target with onboard weapon systems which include laser-guided bombs, missiles, and anti-tank missiles. Similarly, MALE RPA can acquire the target, get precise data of the target, and transfer data to long-range vectors. Col. Gaurav also discussed that RPA AO/payload has the capacity to carry out overall damage assessment and re-engage the target by the HALE UAVs.

Lt Col Shubham Madan, GSO-1 (Equipment), Infantry Directorate, Army HQ spoke on ‘Army’s Tactical UAV Requirements.’ He identified four areas – logistics, surveillance, enemy threat, and counter-drone operations, where UAS were needed for infantry observation requirements. He mentioned that as part of logistics, the requirements criteria included 5500 metres AMSL, 1000m AGL, 20-50 kg, and 10-15 km. While mentioning the logistical challenges he discussed the road infrastructure in forwarding areas, winter cut-off of posts, and last mile connectivity. In terms of surveillance, the requirements were highlighted as 6000m, 1000m AGL, vertical take-off and landing and man-portable. He also highlighted the requirements by terrain, i.e., in the North-East region, J&K, plains and deserts. While discussing the main challenges for surveillance, he mentioned the forwarded areas, varied terrains and lack of landing grounds. For counter-drone operations, he raised the questions of range and cost-effectiveness. Further, he mentioned that counter drones should be able to detect, identify and destroy the target while identifying the enemy threat as – Armed and ULP GMs.

Cdr Hemant Shekar, Commander (AW)-RPA, Naval HQ focused on ‘Navy’s experience with drones and future plans.’ He highlighted the restricted speed, electromagnetic radiation and susceptibility to detection, RPA’s detectable by C/D radars of ships, range limited to line of sight, and operational capability in fair weather only. The key focus of the Navy has been to enhance the capabilities in the areas of long-range anti-submarine warfare (ASW), surveillance and reconnaissance. During the discussion, he highlighted that currently, the Indian Navy had UAVs which have navigation/control features combined with specialised sensors, mainly aimed at achieving precise surveillance over the enemy territories. However, there is a need for the UCAVs to go beyond surveillance into a new dimension with their weaponised capability to engage in air-to-surface (land/water) and even air-to-air targets.

Nagendran Kandasamy, CEO Throttle Aerospace Systems (TAS) discussed ‘How Drone Defender enables safer airspace?’ The Drone Defender is loaded with 13 pre-programmed modes to lock, track and neutralize rogue drones. It can effectively neutralise threats without any human intervention. It aims to provide a first-of-a-kind capability to the Indian defence forces to discard rogue drones flying over unauthorised airspace. This is in context with the rising instances of drone-based aerial threats to restricted installations under defence and private airspace. According to Kandaswamy, this can be considered to be a key milestone in India’s journey of self-reliance in defence preparedness.

Session 3—Industry’s Potential and Capabilities

The theme of Session 3 was Industry’s Potential and Capabilities. It was chaired by Rear Adm AN Pramod, ACNS (Air), Naval HQ.

Gp Capt Sudhir Verma, Retd, Aerial IQ India discussed ‘Atmanirbharta in UAS Technology.’ He recounted the journey of Aerial IQ in the manufacture of drones. He mentioned that reaching the desired capability takes technology and time. So, significant effort and time have to be spent on the research and development of UAVs. He further discussed the support provided by the Government of India to drone startups mentioning that this will boost indigenous manufacturing, and the drone certification scheme to ensure safety and quality requirements are a few positive steps taken by the government in favour of the Indian drone industry. Gp Capt Verma discussed Aerial IQ’s initiative to develop tethered drones, which is unique and has had considerable sales due to its great potential. He highlighted that Aerial IQ is totally indigenous with the aim to make drones that fit into the requirements of the industry.

Ravi Hazarika, Sales Director, PBS India gave a talk on “PBS Engines for Unmanned Aerial Systems.” He explained the company’s focus on in-house development, production, testing and certification of turbojet, turboprop and turboshaft engines. He further elaborated that the company has expertise in engine testing. Discussing PBS TJ40-G1, he highlighted that it can be used with the hybrid electric motor. This is basically a turbojet engine that is meant for UAV systems, such as target drones and decoy drones, which also has low weight as one of its qualities. The company has also produced PBS TJ80, having the best thrust-to-diameter ratio. It is a turbojet engine designed for missiles, target drones and UAVs. The PBS TJ150 by the same company is a turbojet engine having higher thrust and a smaller diameter. It is light in weight with a powerful thrust of up to 1500 Newton along with low fuel consumption.

Col KV Kuber, Director Defence and Aerospace, E&Y gave the “Industry Perspective on UAS.” He mentioned that high economic growth in India has boosted the country’s entire UAV/Drone startup ecosystem. Further highlighting that co-production was the key for Atmanirbharta, he mentioned that this would help in reducing the input cost. So, there is a need to involve private industry in R&D. He highlighted that Atmanirbharta also meant that whatever indigenous products that any company produces should have the ability and confidence to improve on it on a much larger scale. He elaborated on ongoing drone initiatives in Indian firms like HAL and Adani Defence. He also spoke about India’s UAS exports like the Garuda drone which is exported to Malaysia. He stressed that while capability development can be done through technological developments, capacity building will be achieved through a robust industrial framework. He defined exports to be numerators, and production to be the denominator. According to him, a healthy balance between these two means a state of mutual interdependence, where a greater denominator reflects lacking abilities and the presence of vulnerabilities.

Session 4— Innovations and Research & Development

The theme of their session was Innovations, Research & Development. It was chaired by Cmde Vivek Dahiya, Cmde (SR), Naval HQ. The session focused on discussing the phenomenon of disruptive technologies taking over and becoming mainstream.

Chandreyi Suhas, Scientist F, ADE, DRDO gave a presentation on ‘Latest developments in UAVs.’ Briefly mentioning the future battlespace which will comprise manned, unmanned and hybrid aerial systems, she discussed in detail ADE’s product portfolio, including Pilotless Target Vehicles (Lakshay), Nishant SR-UAV, Panchi UAV and Rustom-1 (Short Range UAV for Reconnaissance). She also highlighted the aero materials, especially composites, strike aircraft variants, cruise missiles, aspects of stealth/ low observability technologies, RCS reduction technologies and radar absorbing paints.

Ashish Sharma, Director, WB Electronics, India, gave a brief overview of WB Electronics, India. He emphasized the company’s areas of activity which are crucial for the transfer of technology. He discussed in detail the Topaz Integrated Combat Management System, U-GATE Dismounted observation and unmanned system, and other systems offered by WB Electronics.

Wg Cdr Anand Pethia, Retd, Adani Defence and Ido Lichter, Vice President, UAS Engineering, Elbit Systems together gave a talk on ‘Evolution of Unmanned Aerial Systems from Segregated to Un-segregated Airspace.’ Pethia stressed on the importance of shifting focus from fighter operations to UAS, which will help to bridge the shortage of squadrons in a two-front war. Pethia elaborated on ‘the India Drone Rules 2021’ and explained how authorities are opening up the skies for drone testing in limited airspace. Ido underlined the importance of military certification, core standards of certification, the basis of certification, and why “certification is not enough and being ‘certified’ is now needed.” Further, Ido emphasized on the need for rigorous testing for building standards to reach a mature level of conformity.

Col Rajan Desai, Col Artillery & Aviation, Army Design Bureau, spoke on ‘Swarm Drones’ and brought out the enhanced significance of indigenous swarm drone technologies, highlighting the advantages of cost and operability, that have been observed in recent deployment scenarios. He underlined the design gaps of the drone industry which included the inability to test in high altitudes and extreme terrains. He elaborated that the Indian government is supporting the domestic start-up ecosystem through various policies, competitions and initiatives.

Wg Cdr Sarang Vashisht, Air HQ, discussed the ‘Meher Baba Swarm Drones Competition’ which began in October 2018, to honour Late Air Cdr Meher Singh, DSO.

Session 5—Counter UAVs

The theme of this session was “Counter UAVs”. It was chaired by Air Vice Marshal Rakesh Sinha, ACAS Operations (Offensive), Air HQ.

Brig Manish Kumar, Brig (Ops & C2), Army Air Defence Directorate, presented his views on ‘Countering the UAV Threat.’ He spoke on the significant targeting and destruction of drones in recent conflicts between Armenia-Azerbaijan and Russia-Ukraine. He emphasized the ‘urgent vs important’ aspects in the development of counter-drone capabilities and the key precepts of the UAS like the command-and-control systems, SATCOM, telemetry, navigation, positioning, and means of propulsion. He also explained the mitigation philosophy based on the threat environment and the importance of control through a centralized structure.

Azeez P, Scientist F, LRDE and V Kishore Kumar, Scientist D, DLRL, DRDO, together spoke on the DRDO developed ‘D-4 Anti-drone System.’ The speakers explained the Drone Detect, Deter and Destroy system (D4S) – the first indigenously developed anti-drone system to be inducted into the Indian Armed Forces. While highlighting the usage of counter-drone technology for surveillance to identify and mitigate through hard and soft-kills, the speakers also delved into the basic issues faced by the counter-drone systems, which included the size of drones and the importance of automatic classification between drones and other entities. Their discussion also highlighted challenges like detection effectiveness, false positives and false negatives, collateral damage and signal disruption.

Air Marshal Anil Chopra, Director General, CAPS gave the Closing Remarks and Maj Gen Ravi Arora, Chief Editor, Indian Military Review gave the vote of thanks.

Report prepared by: Dr. Anu Sharma, Dr. Ngangom Dhruba Tara Singh, Divyanshu Jindal, Prachi Lokhande and Jay Desai.

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The idea of AI weapon-ization often begins with a one line statement that says- “What AI will do in the future, we don’t know!” OR what the future with AI holds for humanity, civilization, and the life on the planet – “we have no clue about it!”

This is something that is never seen before in any military or commercial product, even Robert Oppenheimer was quite sure about the fact that what he was creating is a weapon of mass destruction! So promoting such a level of ‘conscious irresponsibility,’ a culture of unaccountability, and an acceptance toward it – is a new kind of experiment in itself!

“Now I am become Death, the destroyer of worlds,” said J. Robert Oppenheimer (1945), quoting from Bhagavad-Gita after the first nuclear detonation.

While discussing the Weaponization of AI, often too much emphasis is being given to the ‘machine intelligence’ aspects alone, and there is an ignorance toward the basic fact that there are the teams of psychologists, neurologists, sociologists, anthropologists, and social behaviors experts – the real ‘Human Intelligence’ that works behind these systems!

A few days back, former Google Chairman & CEO, Eric Schmidt, while speaking at a US Naval War College event, raised some interesting points about winning AI’s strategic competition, when he said: “think about the Chinese app TikTok, which is the number one app in America today, and they know where your teenager is, probably you don’t!” And then he asked the audience – “is it OK if a Chinese company knows where your teenager is? At the moment it seems to be OK but is it okay in the future?” And Eric often raises the questions like “how do you feel about your child having a best friend be non-human?”

Now the point is Eric Schmidt’s concern about his country and their kids and teenagers’ growing engagement on non-American AI platforms is okay, these are some valid concerns! But what about us, how India, which comes next after the US and China in the list of most online countries in the world, and where Gen Z (the generation born between 1997 and 2012) is the biggest target audience of these AI-enabled social platforms, should see this absolute and ever-growing control of American AI tools and platforms in our market and in our minds? How should we see their psychological experiments, going live 24/7 with our people?

In the case of India, things are now going to a different level. A few days back, Elon Musk tweeted some CIA spying kind of meme, and when the people reacted to that he responded: “I would be shocked if I’m *not* being spied on.” Many people reacted to that tweet with more interesting memes, a number of them were from India too, and it looks like a normal and frank conversation about the realities of the internet and CIA snooping! But this is something to think about. It’s about the normalization of ‘mass surveillance’ by a foreign product and their agency, something which they often criticize about China or Russia, back home.

The weaponization of AI is not going to be some one-time ‘doomsday’ type event where all of a sudden the AI and Robots will take over the human systems and we will be left with only two choices- either install Neuralink’s Brain Chip to better fight with AI or to migrate to some other nearby planet on SpaceX’s Starship, as Elon Musk often predicts. Rather, it’s a deliberate and psychologically designed process of preparing the human minds, to accept a certain future, that fulfills certain objectives, and it is more about voluntarily and happily giving up before the control! The need, therefore, is to have a mountaintop view of the situation.

And in this broader view, the ease with which 4.9 billion internet users turned hostages to tech platforms’ filtered worldview (on the click of a mouse) in the Russia-Ukraine War, the absolute absence of Russian narrative from the internet, targeted battalions of Influencers waging frequent attacks on every move of democratically elected governments, frequent acts of adventure/misadventure and stunts on ‘information superhighways’ under the name of ‘freedom of speech,’ the forced shutdown of former US president and his supporters on the social media, power in the hands of terrorist and separatists elements, capabilities in the hands of organizations like PFI and SFJ to rage riots and mass violence on streets within a few minutes of mobilization and a constant amplification of political/ social/ economic and democratic chaos, all comes under the broader definition of “Weaponization of AI.”

And when 98 years old Henry Kissinger suddenly teams up with former Google CEO and starts talking about AI and our “human future,” in his typical Kissingerian approach, and when Dr. Kai Fu Lee, ex-Google China Head and Founder of Sinovation Ventures, speaks about the division of AI’s strategic pie between two superpowers (in his book AI Superpowers – China-Silicon Valley and the New World Order) to save humanity, such trends also comes under the broader definition of weaponization of AI as well!

But there is an interesting history and background behind such an approach, which some mathematicians and scientists belonging to the early development of these technologies highlighted in their works. One such mathematician Norbert Wiener, the father of Cybernetics, writes in his book “Cybernetics or Control and Communication in the Animal and the Machine” that “Those of us who have contributed to the new science of cybernetics thus stand in a moral position, which is, to say the least, not very comfortable. We have contributed to the initiation of a new science which embraces technical developments with great possibilities for good and for evil.” And “we can only hand it over to the world that exists about us…and this is the world of Hiroshima and Belsen.”

Some Background

A common feature in all popular discussions around AI is that they are always future-oriented, and somewhere there is a ‘smart ignorance’ about the past, about the background that led to the creation of this improvisation. For example, on AI, people often prefer to start from the Dartmouth Conference, 1956, where the idea of AI was first presented as: “any computer program that does something that we would normally think of as intelligent in humans.” By starting from there, they smartly ignore the background of such conferences, or the whole series of the conferences/seminars that were conducted from 1946 to 1953, which were popularly called the Macy Conferences (as they were hosted by the Macy Foundation) or those that were conducted in parallel to that – the Ratio Club meetings of the British.

It is worth noting that those meetings and seminars were not attended by mathematicians and engineers fraternities alone, they were attended by biologists, anthropologists, sociologists, physiologists, psychologists, and psychiatrists and produced several thought-provoking ideas on humans, their biological, psychological, social and behavioral aspects.

And it was during this time that Pentagon’s obsession with ‘Psychology’ was at its peak. Several historical documents validate that there was an increase of over 1000% in the hiring of Psychologists for the Pentagon’s tech-related projects!

So calling AI a product of only algorithmic advances and machine intelligence, ignoring its background and future trajectory, in many ways a hurdle in understanding its potential as a Weapon!

 Neocortical Warfare and Decision Making

The term “Neocortical Warfare” frequently appears in the US military literature on Information Warfare. The ‘Neocortex,’ region of the brain, the six-layered cortex where higher brain functions such as sensory perception, cognition, and generation of motor commands, spatial reasoning, and language functions originate from, is the new focus of AI-led future warfare too.

In his article “Neocortical Warfare: towards the acme of skill,” published in US journal, Military Review (Nov 1994), Col Richard Szafranski (USAF) used the term ‘Neocortex,’ as a metaphor to refer enemy’s collective decision-making structures, and mentioned that: “the aim [of neocortical warfare] is not merely to avoid battles. The aim is to influence, even to the point of regulating the consciousness, perception, and will of the enemy’s leadership: the enemy’s Neocortical System.”

The question is who would be an ‘adversary’ in such cognitive and neocortical warfare, where the target is the ‘Neocortex’ of Decision Making Structures and belief systems?

Case of Bharat

It is said that grand strategy is the art of looking beyond the battle and calculating ahead, and sometimes it is wise to lose some battles but win the final war! At this moment, we seem to be losing a few battles, at least on the narrative front!

Somewhere there are assumptions in our system that Bharat cannot provide a resolution or solution to technology related issues or human-tech dilemmas, we cannot recognize these challenges and their Headquarters as a ‘Threat,’ and cannot stretch our visuals beyond territorial challenges, which in simple words means that we will have to remain a follower of technology/trends and their routine improvisations, even if they continue to work on ‘thousand cuts’ principle, against our national security interests!

So if we could apply the ‘Neocortex’ analogy here, the presence of such assumptions in our country’s belief system can be seen as the early sign of a strategically planned ‘Neocortical warfare’ campaign launched against us, which has the potential to influence our choices, our decisions, and our overall ‘will’ to fight, without us being aware of it!

The time has come to reject such assumptions, even if it requires first, waging a guerrilla war on our minds, notions, and assumptions!

Conclusion

“You see things, and say ‘Why?’ But I dream of things that never were, and I say; ‘Why not?’”

This quote appears on the first page of the military document of the US Air Force 2025 study (published in 1996) where the rough craft of future information war-fighting capabilities was given. The ‘Why Not’ part of this quotation reflects a mindset! It’s about a way of thinking, which need not be as imaginative as it sounds in the first place, but it possesses a determination to stay ahead of a few cycles faster than the opponent’s OODA loop.

When we trace the phase of the accumulation of information and technology dominance, we found that all these war fighting capabilities have mounted up in the last 3-4 decades, and it was during this time when the pace of our system’s decision-making process was at its lowest mark too.

To some extent, it is by influencing the ‘Neocortex’ of our decision-making process, that ‘others’ have leveraged the time and space.

But the entire effort behind AI is an attempt to build a replica of Human Intelligence (HI) and in this domain, Bharat possesses a natural edge, for ages!

Human Intelligence and Edge of Bharat

An interesting thing about HI is that is not stocked up in the air-conditioned data centers, consuming resources of the planet earth. It is dispersed in the billions of minds around us and if we speak in the language of science, the research says that a single Human Brain can store information and command connections roughly as many as the entire ‘internet,’ has more switches than all computers on earth and measuring its true size, is beyond the capacity of existing metrics of computer science domain!

Cognitive Science is gradually reaching the conclusion that every mind is unique, full of diversity, and has the mechanism to reach a ‘Superhuman intelligence’ level! But which country on the planet has a thousand of years old thought system that supports this view? And where it is said that a self-conscious ‘Mind’ (Nar) can attain the status of ‘Divinity’ itself (Narayan), it is within the reach of all of us!

Bharat is the only continuing ancient civilization that has explored, experienced, and experimented with the peak of HI when a larger part of the world was busy experimenting with animal psychology, ‘Survival’ rules, and the ‘law of the jungle’ kind of narrow pursuits. There is a reason why to date, the conceptual assets stored in our Mahabharata, Gita, Vedas, Puranas, and Upanishads, influence and inspire modern weaponry, combat science, and strategic thought processes!

“Access to the Vedas is the greatest privilege which this century may claim over all previous centuries,” said physicist and ‘father of the Atomic Bomb’ J. Robert Oppenheimer.

Who will take ownership of HI? Now we are entering into a phase, when there will not be just a battle of minds but the battle of intelligence, and largely it will be a battle between AI vs. HI. And in this battle of intelligence, every aspect of human intellect is a potent weapon and a lucrative target as well.

From Silicon Valley to the Vatican, AI has many guardians, preachers, and protectors but if there is one country that must protect and keep the edge of HI high, it is Bharat. It’s a domain that belongs to our ancestors and our true heritage!

AI-related warfighting capabilities deal with the ‘Perception,’ the sensory experience of the world, and they can be seen as the modern improvisations of a much larger offensive scheme called ‘Maya’ (illusion- a distortion of the senses itself).

Bharat has an identity of being the architect of ‘Maya’ and Mayavi Yudh and history tells us that we are not only the creator if the question of the survival of humanity comes; we are the destroyer of our creation too. We are a land, which can bless even a ‘Bhasmasur,’ (भस्मासुर) but when he misuses it, then we return in the form of ‘Mohini’ (मोहिनी) to cause him to turn himself into ashes!

Recommendations. What are the key hurdles?

It’s a war between AI vs. HI, and the more we will invest in our HI part, the more we will lead in the theoretical, conceptual, and imagination aspects of this domain, the better we will perform!

But the problem with the professionals of relevant security agencies is that there is a gigantic mountain of intellectual assets that exist in every aspect of AI and AI-related future warfare, from philosophy, psychology, and doctrines to tools, trends, technology, and digging such a vast mountain of knowledge asset, in parallel to dealing with routine and operational challenges of the profession, is not humanly possible!

Solution. A body of knowledge must exist whose primary job would be: observing every single pattern/ trend emerging in the domain of AI and AI-led information/ psychological and cognitive warfare, with an ‘Eagle Eye’ view, enhancing the capacity of ‘wetware’ of security agencies and weaponizing them with the latest knowledge on the domain, maintaining a separate information repository for future challenges, and promoting awareness among the common people (victim of such improvisations).

Formation of an independent working group, capable to weaponize our security agencies, theoretically and conceptually, in the domain of AI and Cognitive Warfare, is the need of the hour!  (Concluded).

READ ALSO: Weaponisation of Artificial Intelligence (Part 1)

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With road accidents causing nearly 300 deaths (2015) each year in the Indian Army, Bengaluru-based Bharat Earth Movers Limited has come out with a Driver Fatigue Monitoring System to alert the authorities on when to change a driver.

The real-time, non-intrusive AI-based system will accurately predict and identify situations where drowsiness and fatigue in a driver may be setting in. The intelligent system detects such signals in the driver, while the vehicle is in motion.

The system continuously look out for symptoms of drowsiness, while considering physical cues like yawning, drooping eyelids, closed eyes and increased blink durations by using percentage of eyelid closure over the pupil against the time algorithm.

Bharat Electronics Limited has developed an AI enabled gesture recognition system that will inform the guards of a military unit if a person approaching the place is a friend or enemy.

The system that can be easily integrated on a network of IP enabled cameras, uses deep-learning to identify gestures like a human walking with or without a gun, crawling with or without a gun and crouching with or without a gun.

A third key technology would be the silent sentry developed by the Indian Army to plug the gaps in surveillance networks.

They are rail mounted robots that would be used as additional eyes and ears on the perimeters of units and installations to enhance the surveillance grid. Such robots are being used by South Korea and Israel to man their borders.

Other AI-based technologies include target tracking systems for the navy, deep sight canopy inspection for fighter jets and a predictive maintenance suite for the coast guard.

Overall the AI products to be used by the armed forces relate to unmanned and robotics systems, cyber security, human behaviour analysis, intelligent monitoring system, logistics and supply chain management, speech and voice analysis and Command, Control, Communication, Computer and Intelligence, Surveillance and Reconnaissance (C4ISR) systems, and operational data analytics

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