Taiwan scrambled jets and navy ships on 11 Jan as a group of Chinese warships led by its only aircraft carrier Liaoning sailed north through the Taiwan Strait.
Taiwan scrambled jets and navy ships on 11 Jan as a group of Chinese warships led by its only aircraft carrier Liaoning sailed north through the Taiwan Strait.
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Invasion of Taiwan – Part 4

The PLAA has increased its posture in the Eastern Theater Command and along the Taiwan Strait, providing the PLAA with enhanced firepower, mobility, and rapid strike capabilities. Significant reorganizations and amphibious assault training in recent years likely indicate that the Taiwan contingency is a high priority for the Army. Major PLAA contributions to a Taiwan invasion scenario likely include extensive amphibious, army aviation, and air assault operations. The PLAA fields six amphibious combined arms brigades—four in the Eastern Theater Command (nearest Taiwan) and two in the Southern Theater Command. PLAA units continued amphibious assault training as a single service and with joint service counterparts in 2022. Training events refined the tactics of rapid loading, long-distance transport and beach assault under complicated sea situations, and logistic support capabilities. Press reports also claimed that the PLA extensively used sea, air, and ground UAS in support of the amphibious assault operation. PLAA amphibious brigades reportedly conduct realistic, large-scale amphibious operations that are almost certainly aimed at supporting a Taiwan invasion scenario.

PLAN. The PLAN is improving its anti-air, anti-surface, and ASW capabilities, further developing an at-sea nuclear deterrence, and introducing new multi-mission platforms capable of conducting diverse missions during peace and war and has increased its posture surrounding Taiwan since August 2022. New attack submarines and modern surface combatants with anti-air capabilities and fourth-generation naval aircraft entering the force are designed to achieve maritime superiority within the FIC as well as to deter and counter any potential third-party intervention in a Taiwan conflict.

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The PRC’s amphibious fleet has in recent years focused on acquiring a modest number of ocean- going LPD and LHA ships. There is no indication the PRC is significantly expanding its number of tank landing ships (LSTs) and medium sized landing craft at this time. Although the PLAN has not invested in the large number of landing ships and medium landing craft that analysts believe the PLA would need for a large-scale assault on Taiwan, it is possible the PLA assesses it has sufficient amphibious capacity and has mitigated shortfalls through investment in other operational capabilities, such as civilian lift vessels and rotary-wing assets to address this gap. The PLA may also have confidence in the PRC’s shipbuilding industry’s massive capacity to produce the necessary ship-to-shore connectors relatively quickly.

PLAAF. The PLAAF has maintained a ready force posture for a variety of capabilities necessary in a Taiwan contingency. It has acquired a large number of advanced aircraft capable of conducting operations against Taiwan without requiring refueling, providing it with a significant capability to conduct air and ground-attack operations. A number of long-range air defense systems provide a strong layer of defense against attacks on key military installations or population centers on China’s mainland. The PRC’s development of support aircraft provides the PLAAF with improved ISR capability to support PLA operations. The PLAAF also has improved refueling capabilities, expanding its ability to operate further from China and increasing its ability to threaten third party intervention. Throughout 2022, Eastern Theater Command-based PLAAF units operated at higher levels than in previous years. Taiwan ADIZ incursions involved greater numbers of aircraft and were more frequent than in 2021, demonstrating the PLAAF’s improved ability to sustain pressure on Taiwan.

PLARF. The PLARF is prepared to conduct missile attacks against high-value targets, including Taiwan’s C2 facilities, air bases, and radar sites, in an attempt to degrade Taiwan’s defenses, neutralize Taiwan’s leadership, or break the public’s will to fight. As of 2023, the PLARF is increasing its presence along the Taiwan Strait with new missile brigades, possibly indicating an increasing number of deployed missiles.

Chinas Eastern-Theater and Formations
Chinas Eastern-Theater and Formations

Strategic Support Force (SSF). PLA doctrinal writings emphasize the importance of space and cyberspace domains in joint operations. PLA writings suggest that the SSF would be responsible for the use of EW and cyberspace operations during a Taiwan contingency, as one of the missions of the force is to seize and maintain information dominance. The SSF 311 Base would be responsible for political and psychological warfare, such as disseminating propaganda against Taiwan to influence public opinion and promote the PRC’s interests. The SSF would also play a strategic information and communications support role, centralizing technical intelligence collection and management and providing strategic intelligence support to theater commands involved in a Taiwan contingency. Following the U.S. Speaker of the House’s CODEL in August 2022, Taiwan’s MND claimed that China launched widespread cyber-attacks against Taiwan.

Joint Logistic Support Force (JLSF). The JLSF’s primary goal is to provide joint logistics support to the PLA’s strategic and campaign-level operations, such as a Taiwan contingency, by conducting C2 of joint logistics, delivering materiel, and overseeing various support mechanisms. The JLSF participates in joint, theater-level exercises, becoming most relevant when units operate far from their home garrisons and beyond their organic logistics capabilities.

Eastern Theatre Command

The Eastern Theater Command consists of a joint headquarters, a joint logistics support center (JSLC) from the PLA Joint Logistics Support Force, a PLA Ground Force (PLAGF) service component, a PLA Air Force (PLAAF) service component, a PLA Navy (PLAN) service component, and a PLA Rocket Force (PLARF) service component. Within Eastern Theater Command these units these are the Nanjing headquarters, Wuxi Joint Logistics Support Facility, Eastern Theater Command Ground Forces, Eastern Theater Command Air Force, Eastern Fleet, and Base 61. It’s HQ is at Nanjing

The PLA Ground Force (PLAGF) component of Eastern Theater Command is composed of three major units: The 71st, 72nd, and 73rd Group Army.

71st Group Army headquartered in Xuzhou, Jiangsu, is composed of six combined-arms brigades and seven support brigades.

2nd Heavy Combined-Arms Brigade

35th Heavy Combined-Arms Brigade

160th Heavy Combined-Arms Brigade

235th Heavy Combined-Arms Brigade

178th Medium Combined-Arms Brigade

179th Light Combined-Arms Brigade

71st Army Aviation Brigade

71st Artillery Brigade

71st Air Defense Brigade

71st Special Operations Brigade

71st Service Support Brigade

72nd Group Army

The 72nd Group Army headquartered in Huzhou City, Zhejiang Province, consists of the below units.

10th Heavy Combined-Arms Brigade

5th Amphibious Combined-Arms Brigade

124th Amphibious Combined-Arms Brigade

85th Medium Combined-Arms Brigade

90th Light Combined-Arms Brigade

72nd Army Aviation Brigade

72nd Artillery Brigade

72nd Air Defense Brigade

72nd Special Operations Brigade

72nd Service Support Brigade

The 73rd Group Army headquartered in Bantou, Jimei District, Xiamen City, of Fujian Province consists of the below units.

86th Heavy Combined-Arms Brigade

14th Amphibious Combined-Arms Brigade

91st Amphibious Combined-Arms Brigade

145th Medium Combined-Arms Brigade

3rd Light Combined-Arms Brigade

73rd Army Aviation Brigade

73rd Artillery Brigade

73nd Air Defense Brigade

73rd Special Operations Brigade

73rd Service Support Brigade

PLA Air Force

The Eastern Theater Command Air Force is

contd on page 19

The PLA’s Posture Against Taiwan

contd from page 16

composed of the following units.

8th Fighter Brigade

9th Fighter Brigade

25th Fighter Brigade

40th Fighter Brigade

41st Fighter Brigade

78th Fighter Brigade

83rd Fighter Brigade

85th Fighter Brigade

95th Fighter Brigade

10th Bomber Division

28th Bomber Regiment

29th Bomber Regiment

30th Bomber Regiment

76th Air Regiment

77th Air Regiment

93rd Regiment

Unidentified drone attack brigade

PLA Navy

Eastern Theater Command Navy (East Sea Fleet)

Ningbo Fleet Headquarters

Shanghai Naval Base

Xiangshan Naval Base

Zhoushan Naval Base

Fujian Naval Base

1st Coastal Defense Brigade (Shanghai)

2nd Coastal Defense Brigade (Shanghai)

Coastal Defense Brigade (Fujian)

13th Coastal Defense Division, (Jinjiang, Quanzhou)

31st Pontoon Bridge Brigade

PLA Naval Air Force

1st Air Division (Shanghai)

17th Air Regiment (Changzhou)

5th Independent Bomber Regiment (Changzhou)

4th Naval Aviation Brigade (Taizhou)

11th Air Regiment (Ningbo)

18th Air Regiment (JH-7)

PLA Rocket Force

The People’s Liberation Army Rocket Force (PLARF) component of Eastern Theater Command is Base 61 in Huangshan, Anhui, which has 611 to 618 Brigades armed as follows:

611 Brigade        DF-21A Chizhou

612 Brigade        DF-21/DF-21A Jingdezhen

613 Brigade        DF-15B Shangrao

614 Brigade        DF-11A/DF-17 Yong’an

615 Brigade        DF-11A Meizhou

616 Brigade        DF-15    Ganzhou

617 Brigade        DF-16    Jinhua

618 Brigade        Unknown            Unknown